I'm really liking the medium to long range. Ensembles are spitting out widespread 2-3" of precip across the region through 15 days as big troughs eject out of the west and the gulf is wide open.
The temp is up to 78º here, with low 80s across southeast Iowa. While still low, the 47º dewpoint is 15º higher than it was last week when we reached the 70s, so it feels more springy.
We REALLY need to start getting some rain. It is very dry here.
The Euro has suddenly become much more progressive. It now has the pacnw trough completely bypassing the low off the SoCal coast, so, instead of digging and slowing, it races the trough eastward across the country.
I was looking forward to getting some good rain with storms next week, but the models have trended toward pushing everything to the east too quickly. The Ohio Valley and eastern Lakes get storms, but farther nw we get nothing.
The op GFS is really blowtorching the end of the month. It has been showing this for several runs. Frankly, I hope the heat gets dialed back quite a bit as we get closer. It's way too early for that.
The signal is there for a possible storm early next week, but models are all over the place from run to run. The op Euro just shifted from the deep south back to the upper midwest in one run.
It's out there pretty far, but the latest op Euro, GFS, and GDPS (Canadian) all show a nearly identical Colorado low producing good snow across IA/WI/IL late next weekend.
For the second consecutive day, a stratus deck advecting in from the east killed our temp, holding us in the mid 30s. The east wind off the lakes can be a real downer in winter and spring.