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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. Euro.... this run has better interaction between the lead, moist, wave and the upper energy diving in from Iowa.
  2. 12z Euro - End of week system. It's there, but not exceptionally organized.
  3. I'd take a repeat of last winter. December was blah and the first week of January was a blowtorch, but then the hammer dropped and we had the snowiest five week period on record. Winter ended after those five weeks, but it was an amazing period.
  4. Yikes! That's pretty awful. Positive everything, MJO looping right back into the warm phases. Let's hope not.
  5. The other models are now caving to the GFS... the euro overnight and the ICON, Canadian, and UK this morning.
  6. Of course, the Euro decides to shake things up tonight. Here is the shift from last night's run to tonight's for the end of the month.
  7. The GFS is the only model showing the phased cutter. The ICON, Canadian, UK, and Euro all look about the same.
  8. UK is a nothingburger, suppressed south of the subforum.
  9. Euro not on the same planet as GFS as we head toward Xmas. It shows a very benign pattern.
  10. We got off to a record start, snow-wise, but it was inevitable that areas to the north and northwest would surge past us.
  11. 00z Euro ... and the other models are very similar.
  12. It's looking like a strong low will track through southeast Iowa on Tuesday. My area should see mostly rain with a bit of snow on the backside. Northern Iowa ene-ward could get a nice thump.
  13. Tonight's UK and Euro are well north of previous runs Tuesday/Wednesday.
  14. Typhoon Bualoi is about to move over/near Anatahan island in the Mariana Islands. This is the second strong typhoon to directly hit the tiny island this month. That's difficult to do.
  15. Anyone know what kind of building code they have in the Marianas?
  16. Trami was an awesome super typhoon, but once it stalled it didn't take long for the upwelled cool water to hollow out the core.
  17. That's some pretty awesome stuff you guys are reporting/photographing. Half those rates/totals would be a dream storm here in Iowa. Around here, >foot totals are next to impossible and even ten-inch storms are rare. Four inches counts as a good storm. It's the ultimate nickel-dimer climate. OceanStWx used to work here at DVN, so he knows how pathetic this area can be.
  18. The last four runs of the Euro are showing something interesting in the 6-10 day period... possible tropical storm or typhoon formation in the Gulf of Thailand.
  19. A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday.
  20. It appears another eyewall replacement cycle may be on the way. Satellite shows the eye steadily shrinking over the last few hours, and a microwave image from an hour ago shows a distinct outer band.
  21. Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
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