hawkeye_wx
-
Posts
6,676 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
-
18z HWRF and HMON are still showing rapid deepening in the nw Caribbean. The HWRF drops it from 993 mb to 949 mb in 21 hours, beginning late Monday evening.
-
If this system does become a hurricane and threaten the US gulf coast, the water over the northern gulf is no longer the fuel it was when Sally traversed the area. The image is from Ryan Maue on Twitter.
-
The HWRF and HMON are really revving it up, to <970 mb, before reaching western Cuba or the Yucatan channel.
-
92L has developed a decent circulation. Better convection and a decrease in shear over the 24-36 hours should allow it to organize. The new GFS is more robust, strengthening it to hurricane in the gulf with a landfall on the central gulf coast in a steady/weakening phase.
-
We don't see many 980 mb tropical storms. The visible loop sure looks like a hurricane. Another recon was on the way, but there was no way they'd get down there in time so they turned around.
-
This system is impressive. It appears to be rapidly strengthening as it is about to move inland.
-
New dropsonde says 983 mb.
-
This could have been quite a storm with one more day over water.
-
The current upper level flow is quite favorable. It's just lacking a core.
-
I was just thinking that this is clearly a TD. It'll be interesting to see how quickly this can rev up before reaching the northeast Yucatan coast.
-
The 12z Euro has Rene meandering around just north of the MDR, which leads to the new system getting sucked up into the weakness, so no threat to the Caribbean.
-
12z GFS has a rapidly-strengthening hurricane in the eastern Caribbean in a week. I noticed last night's Euro had the system there, but much weaker.
-
The top of the sister street where it meets the main avenue. Across the avenue is a dumpy mobile home area. Many of the big, old trees in that area look like the ones in this photo. Many of the crappy homes got ripped up, too.
-
Looking down the next street... our sister street.
-
Corner of the street entrance, opposite side. This tree was broken off at the ground and tossed 30 ft. Interesting photo.... all the trees along the right side of the street are still standing while all the trees on the left side were blown down.
-
A couple houses up the street from me. Corner house at the entrance to my street.
-
Across the street again, then a couple houses up from there.
-
Next door neighbor and across the street.
-
Here are some photos from my neighborhood. The first two are my backyard.
-
-
I just got power back Thursday morning, ten days after the storm. There are still 9k people in the CR area without power. My Mediacom tv/internet is still out (could be up to another week), but my neighbor has a different service, which is working, and she is letting me use her wifi. It has been a long couple weeks. I did a lot of tree cleanup in my yard and surrounding yards. It was exhausting, but there was nothing to do after dark so I got a lot of sleep. It was quite a storm, likely something I'll never see again. It was amazing how it just kept raging for 30-40 minutes. The worst damage I saw, as someone posted earlier in the thread, is in sw Cedar Rapids, a bit over a mile sw of my house, but everyone got hit. I'll post a few photos of my neighborhood when I get my fast internet connection back.
- 418 replies
-
- 10
-
-
The wind just hit, limbs down.
-
NWS just issued a warning for Cedar Rapids, even with the line two counties away.
-
This should be interesting, at the very least. I'm just dreading the damage that will be done to my garden. This line is really racing eastward.
-
Obviously, it's a long way out, but this morning's Euro has a modest system traversing the Caribbean, then it begins to turn more nw and strengthen at the end of the period as the eastern US trough erodes the subtropical ridge.
