The morning models have sped up the front and are now firing the storms farther south. The UK and Euro now have nothing here. The CAMs fire the storms just barely in time.
My storm total is 2.38". I was just hoping to get over an inch, but this morning's disturbance really perked up. My total is even lower than many others in the area. Over 3" fell only a couple miles to my south.
1.83" here so far this morning. That's great, but I sure would love some good ol' noisy thunderstorms. I've had about 6 inches of rain this month, but barely any thunder at all. There is zero thunder this morning.
That first line did crap out just before reaching me. The second line mostly passed south. However, more rain filled in through this morning and many places have received 1+". I am well over an inch now. Once again, there has been little to no thunder.
I picked up almost a half inch of rain this morning from the bubbly remnants of the central/western Iowa convection. There were a couple rumbles, but that's it. The vast majority of our rain this year has been thunder-less.
Models are still pretty bullish in general through tomorrow, but it should also be a bit hit-n-miss.
A line of very heavy rain just lifted north through the Cedar Rapids area. I picked up a quick 0.42" as the line was initially popping up over me. The far north side of the city received up to 1.5" in <30 minutes.
The Euro is now showing a very boring pattern as an upper low cuts off and parks over the eastern lakes. Today/tomorrow may be the only rain for the next ten days.
There were heavy cells dancing all over the area yesterday and overnight, but they all missed me again. My rain total is only 0.18", most of which came from a weakening band of general rain overnight.
A few minutes of hail was fun to watch, but what I want is heavy rain (with some nice lightning/thunder). I love heavy rain as much as I love heavy snow. The storm that dropped that hail on April 7th only dropped 0.09" of rain. At some point this season we'll get a real heavy downpour that lasts more than a few minutes, but it just hasn't happened yet.
The Euro is much farther nw with the Cristobal low this run. Models are really deepening the system somewhere in the lakes region. No doubt the track will flop around many times as the system hangs out down in the tropics for the next few days.
It's easy to see who has been dumped on and who hasn't over the last month or two. Chicago through Michigan has been bulls-eyed. Many of the rest of of us, not so much. There is certainly no drought, but some widespread MCS action from the plains into MN/IA would be nice.
I know you guys in Illinois have gotten walloped by rain systems this spring, but we haven't. We could use a good soaker today. A week from now, when Cristobal lifts through the central US, we will really need a soaker.
I hope the remnants of Cristobal can track northward enough to drop some good rain here. It's too rare. You guys farther east in the subforum get this kind of thing much more often. The GFS brings it up across Iowa, but the Euro veers it east into the Ohio Valley/eastern Lakes.