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NC_hailstorm

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  1. Why is it we're getting the biggest solar wind flareups in September lately? 2017- 760 km/s 2018- 758 km/s 2019-872 km/s Could be coincidence,,could be some sort of new cycle.
  2. There's a realistic chance I might get a 0.00 for September on rainfall,not even a trace.Just checking the 10 day forecast and don't see anything. Terribly dry here grass burned up,leaves dropping.
  3. The QBO has been positive for 10 straight months with the last reading at 9.97 for August,peaking in May at 14.59 so trending down.Interesting to see if it can flip to negative before winter which would be good. Euro going colder west/warmer east for now for DJF.
  4. Warm month so far but CLT still hottest on the planet,Carry on. GSP +5.5 HKY +5.0 AVL +5.3 RDU +2.9 GSO +4.4 CAE +5.4 AND CLT +6.5
  5. I'd say the HRRR is doing very well on this since late Sundays runs,moving this NW. then almost due north and well of the coast so far. That HWRF or whatever you call it looks horrible,slamming this into central Florida for almost 3 days.Pitiful just pitiful.
  6. UKMET with a hit now at Morehead City/Havelock
  7. Not sure how good or bad the HRRR is on tropical stuff but you can definitely see the NW turn around hour 18-24 on the 0z run.Then it looks almost due north hour 30-36 and well off the coast. Just an observation.
  8. UKMET still offshore barely.
  9. GFS into Morehead City/Havelock.Rain shield further west with 5''into RDU this run.
  10. FINAL August temps.CLT is still the hottest place on the planet apparently. GSP -0.1 HKY 0.0 AVL +1.1 RDU -0.1 GSO +0.4 CAE +1.5 AND CLT +2.0
  11. Still some 40mph gusts getting back in the W.Piedmont on the Euro.Higher the further east you go.
  12. Euro further east today,eastern NC still gets hit by heavy rain.
  13. GFS has that sharp cutoff in today's run as well.Someone could get 15''-20''
  14. Euro shifts the heavy rain shield further west this run.
  15. The Euro has 591dm heights over all of NC,SC,and the eastern half of GA at day 4.It isn't the 594dm death ridge but that is plenty strong and will force it west,it's not coming too far north if it's right. Heights weaken at day 5 over these areas but its already into FLA by then.Timing and strength of the heights are still in question though.
  16. Temp update through Aug.26th.Couple spots have an outside shot at a below month. GSP +0.4 HKY +0.6 AVL +1.6 RDU +0.2 GSO +0.7 CAE +2.0 CLT +2.6 (good grief)
  17. Thru Aug,20th,the temp update GSP +1.1 HKY +1.6 AVL +2.3 RDU +0.9 GSO +1.8 CAE +2.6 And everyone's favorite.. CLT +3.5 (C'MON MAN)
  18. Temps over the last 320 days or so.Good chunk still below normal,some places a little above.Carry on.
  19. First 10 days of August temperatures. GSP -0.5 HKY +0.4 AVL +0.7 RDU -0.7 GSO +0.6 CAE +0.3 CLT +1.9 (yeah whatever)
  20. 12z Euro came in a good bit wetter than 0z and looks more closer to the GFS at day 7-10,just something to watch for but the GFS has even bigger totals.
  21. 1st day of the month and here we go again with temps. GSP 0.0 HKY +0.5 AVL -1.0 RDU -1.0 GSO -0.5 CAE -0.5 AND CLT +2.5
  22. The Euro and Ukie both have something day 5 in the eastern gulf.The track is still in question but there could be some heavy rain especially on the eastern side of this crawling slowly north somewhere. Today's total on the Euro day 10
  23. Looks like we'll get some fairly potent MCS action over the next 24 hours.The HRRR has the first arriving overnight with two more crossing Saturday afternoon. Damaging winds the big issue most likely,they are really flying moving SE.
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