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NC_hailstorm

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Everything posted by NC_hailstorm

  1. Heavier burst now bigger flakes mixing in.Up to a dusting and 27.9
  2. Thing I've noticed today is most of the models have had an uptick in QPF. HRRR has .6 here.
  3. Stick with the Euro AI it's been rock steady most of the way.
  4. Euro is playing plinko,went from no storm at all yesterday to a weak low in the FLA panhandle last night to a low now in western NC today.
  5. Euro and GFS are almost identical with the low placement at 168-174 in the western FLA panhandle. 1003 for GFS and stronger,1008 for Euro a bit weaker.
  6. Cookin with hot grease tonight lol,carry on.
  7. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/verification/headlines/global/mrw/acc_31days/ 2nd behind the King,but to be honest all the models are scoring low the last 5 or 6 days overall.
  8. Phase on the UK at 156 and coming northeast,big jump on that model it had nothing last run .
  9. Now you're cookin with hot grease lol,18z tonight full phase.
  10. A phase or a partial at 162 on the 18z GFS,,this can get a little better with some tweaks.
  11. Euro has to kick that Baja low a little further east or the shortwave dropping down has to tick west at day 8/9.Either might work but if you get both well....woof.
  12. A 594 dm death ridge in California and a 486 dm polar vortex in far southeast Canada at the end of the run.And neither seems to be giving ground lol.
  13. Tonight's Euro run might beat anything I've ever seen,492 polar vortex into N.Carolina good grief.That's a high in the single digits? Might save that one.
  14. Euro and the Canadian are further east with the trough at day 7 while the GFS,ICON,and UK are further west. Somewhere in the middle might work but a tick west would be better to give these shortwaves more room to dig.
  15. That ridging out west is strong and persistent,I even seen a few frames hitting 591dm that's close to death ridge stuff you see in the summertime.
  16. Anyways the 18z GFS says Merry Christmas,brings the big dog and puts everyone in the freezer late in the run.
  17. GFS is finally getting a clue and progressing things,no digging and dumping in the west this run.
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