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mattinpa

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Everything posted by mattinpa

  1. mattinpa
    Thanks for all the play by play. Ukie is on its own.
  2. mattinpa
    How much more south? That was the concern with the Ukie.
  3. mattinpa
    Thanks - I didn’t remember the individual Ukie runs for this storm. Don from the NYC forum also says it can be a volatile model.
  4. mattinpa
    That actually concerns me more than the GFS being the outlier. But if the Euro holds serve, I will feel better about the Ukie being a fluke run.
  5. mattinpa
    Snow amounts like the GFS or more?
  6. mattinpa
    Yes I am prepared for anything. Being skeptical is the way to go the last couple winters. I am hoping we can at least get something in between.
  7. mattinpa
    Well according to the snow maps, NYC gets hit well. The Euro had it more universal. So I think a lot is up in the air on the evolution. The maps had us doing better than I thought, though no more than a few inches.
  8. mattinpa
    True, meaning it is not so typical. Something could still be off with the GFS.
  9. mattinpa
    Until the Euro shows this, I won’t buy the GFS completely. GFS never great with thermals either. To its credit, though, the GFS has kept showing this slop.
  10. mattinpa
    I love how the 18z GFS bypasses our region for the best snow. Still have the Euro on board, and the bullseye could easily change.
  11. mattinpa
    It was certainly Dr. No tonight, at least for our region. DC does well. But still a lot of uncertainty over just how and where this forms.
  12. mattinpa
    Yes we could still get a decent snow with that, but I would like to see some consolidation. Otherwise solutions could be quite divergent.
  13. mattinpa
    Thanks! Do you think there would be such a difference between the city and suburbs? Isn’t the setup better than with the December storm?
  14. mattinpa
    GFS still being consistent with the Thursday storm. We’re just south enough on the 18z run to get some good stuff. Pretty clear the first storm will just be light snow/mix.
  15. mattinpa
    Well every now and then, the GFS sniffs something out that the others don’t. Confidence is still not high, but maybe that Euro run is progress.
  16. mattinpa
    Thanks very much for posting. Hope it turns out!
  17. mattinpa
    Hi - by sick do you mean ugly or big signal for a storm?
  18. mattinpa
    Looking at a nice, solid event. Probably nothing major, but that could come after.
  19. mattinpa
    It would be a shame if we wasted the cold, unless there was a record breaking cold spell, which isn’t close to a given.
  20. mattinpa
    Too far out to expect every whole run to be good, though. We’ll see if most of the runs show anything tomorrow.
  21. mattinpa
    Hi Walt! Hope you had a good Christmas. Agreed that doesn’t look good for those two events. What do you think of the 1/4 timeframe? GFS has been hinting at a storm coming up the coast.
  22. mattinpa
    I was disappointed. I don’t think I even got as much as the Philly airport. But on the bright side, it was already better than anything I got last winter.
  23. mattinpa
    All this heavy precip being wasted on sleet here - really a shame.
  24. mattinpa
    Hearing some sleet now. Didn’t want it this early.
  25. mattinpa
    The snow has been pretty fine here and not big flakes, but rates definitely picked up. Haven’t measured but looks like around 2.5 inches.
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