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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    No southern stream to pull up gulf moisture like 2010. No northern stream to tug the low north like January 2000. The 500mb low doesn't track over us like the PD1. We go home empty handed.
  2. Amped
    Starting to lose confidence of major snow for the metros. Yeah maybe a decent event for NC, DelMarva and Cape Cod. DC, Baltimore,Philly and NYC metros are probably getting the finger. The solution from Sunday night that had 2 feet in Harrisburg and 4 feet in Garrett County is definitely not coming back.
  3. Amped
    Thats an impressive shallow warm core 22mb pressure drop over like 50 miles.
  4. Amped
    500mb low track over SC is responsible for a lot of that. We need to bring it north.
  5. Amped
    And its well northwest at 72.
  6. Amped
    Hr 60 looks further northwest. Closed over Northern lake Michigan
  7. Amped
    We just need the gfs to trend west by the same amount and we got it
  8. Amped
    I love how the closed 500mb low dissappears over Ontario, only to reform over southern Michigan 24 hrs later. Thanks for making the setup unnecessarily complicated.
  9. Amped
    Trending in the right direction, but we still got a lot of work cut out for us. LFG
  10. Amped
    Eps improved although I'd like to see a few members near Ocean City like the gefs have.
  11. Amped
    Yes it tries to back in off the ocean, about as Miller A as you can get.
  12. Amped
    Neither does any model. This is one of the least predictable setups you could possibly have in an east coast winter storm.
  13. Amped
    Icon isn't any better. It extends further west, but the energy stays strung out instead of forming a closed low.
  14. Amped
    96 and 2016 both trended north as we moved closer in. In 2016 Euro was way too low with totals in the I81 and I78 corridors. This is unusually low predictability, so that may cancel out modeling improvements since 2016.
  15. Amped
    Its pretty much the same as 00z and not as good as 18z, but yes ots better than 6z.
  16. Amped
    The gfs, aigfs and icon trends are. The cmc, uknet ,and euro trends are not.
  17. Amped
    Takes almost 24 hours to get from Raleigh to DC
  18. Amped
    Perfect position. Freeze the troff axis over indiana.
  19. Amped
    Gfs looks slightly west so far also. Edit. Well west at 78
  20. Amped
    Just like last week's storm.
  21. Amped
    We all know Richmond jackpot is always the solution that locks.
  22. Amped
    Cmc even further west with the troff axis at 102hrs. Coastal looks weaker so far.
  23. Amped
    This thing ain't messing around if it does hit us.
  24. Amped
    This is one of the stranger setups in recent years. Hard to figure out what's driving it and what its sensitive to.
  25. Amped
    Theres a range of outcomes there from the most epic snowstorm of all time that weenies will be talking about for decades, to a cold sunny day.
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