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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    It would seem, with all the computing power availible out there today they could make a snowfall algorithm that actually works. Instead we have 10:1 maps and Kuchara maps. 10:1 Maps: Heavy sleet for a few hours, you get a foot of snow. Kuchara Maps: 0.12" qpf with a temp of 6F, 100:1 ratios, you get a foot of snow. Both algorithms clearly are going to exagerate totals in this case. There could and should be something better.
  2. Amped
    Not liking this trend. Its shifted the jackpot substantial amount northwest since 12z yesterday, a couple more shifts were mostly ice.
  3. Amped
    Wouldn't really say that. Kind of a hold the line for now run.
  4. Amped
    Hm still posts?
  5. Amped
    Gfs brewing something big down south at 216.
  6. Amped
    Just got an alert on my phone for a winter storm watch.
  7. Amped
    Huge snow swath. Starts right on the continental divide in New Mexico and goes all the way past eastern Maine
  8. Amped
    Cmc is my least favorite run so far. Ukmet and icon mix but at least they get a coastal transfer started early and track it well offshore. Cmc has the coastal too far west and not helping us.
  9. Amped
    I actually like this Icon run. The dryslot and the changeover hit at the same time north of I95, which means we dont waste a lot of heavy precip.
  10. Amped
    The media is not picking up my storm name so I used AI to make a graphic for it.
  11. Amped
    There is warm air all the way up to 700mb so the sleet line could be well north of there.
  12. Amped
    Ai gfs has something day 8-9
  13. Amped
    Great gfs run. Too bad its the outlier and its probably wrong.
  14. Amped
    Gfs is further east with the northern stream. Hopefully it stays that way.
  15. Amped
    Yeah clearly an error with the graphics, the transition zone is usually 70 miles. Could be bigger this time cause the waa is even higher up.
  16. Amped
    I like the 2 mile area of sleet between the snow and the freezing rain.
  17. Amped
    It can't show a bust if it doesn't run.
  18. Amped
    That jackpot went from Virginia Beach to Syracuse,NY fast.
  19. Amped
    Reminder, the pdii and the blizzard of 96 mixed with sleet along i95.
  20. Amped
    More precip than the 12z euro even had.
  21. Amped
    Its going to move into WV because there's mountains there. Just hope it's weak. A 1012mb low will easily be dominated by the cad and the coastal.
  22. Amped
    Verbatim its much better than a supressed weak sauce run. The trend is concerning however.
  23. Amped
    Bothe the gfs and the cmc build heights rapidly over the east coast and se canada from 84-102hrs. It went from slightly more risging to a lot more ridging fast. Thats what caused the shift.
  24. Amped
    Cmc coming north too. Party is on.
  25. Amped
    Gfs has a lot more snow from OK to KY than it did in prior runs.
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