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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Before landfall but not at landfall. Kind of makes sense since it was moving so slow and the strongest winds were on the back side of the storm. The core would have interacted with land for about 6 hrs before the strongest winds got onshore.
  2. Just had another huge gust that woke me up.
  3. It wouldn't be a windstorm without garbage blowing around
  4. It's windier now than during the Tstorms
  5. The HRDPS sometimes beats the American mesoscale models on convective setups in the northern half of the country. HRDPS was the only one to have the line this far southwest.
  6. Yeah the cell on the MD/DE border looks like it's trying to produce something.
  7. HRRR has one cell ahead of the line over Wilmington & SNJ. Watch out if that forms it will have some really good parameters.
  8. Hopefully the crapvection disrupts that thing before it gets to Bloomington.
  9. Another cell wants to spin up in S TN between the other two. They're keeping the spacing well.
  10. Doesn't do it justice, a lot of those will be EF2+
  11. Taking almost the same track as the last one.
  12. Another cell in eastern ARK looks like it's got a couplet forming. Edit E of Marvell Ark needs a warning
  13. That one does not look like it's going away quickly. Possible long tracker.
  14. The new hrr doesn't show things going full linear until 5z.
  15. Right on schedule, 230pm local time is when most big outbreak days usually start cranking out TW.
  16. Wow wasn't expecting a double high risk area
  17. Can't wait to get fringed. It's not winter until models pull the rug out from under us inside 60 hrs
  18. If I told you that we would get near record setting Greenland blocks in December and March would anyone of the long range forecasters have predicted we'd get no snow from either?
  19. This was the least snowy winter that I have been through. Worse than 97-98, 02-03, 11-12, and 19-20 at the locations I was in at those times.
  20. If I extrapolate the rate it snowed here this winter, it will take us 65 years to get that much snow
  21. 12z CMC was the best run by far. Even if it showed no snow, it was perfect with the high position SLP track and 500mb track. I'll take my chances with that.
  22. If that setup can't get us an inch of snow this is officially the worst winter on record.
  23. The heavy band in SW CT will likely become a death band once it gets into a spot cold enough for snow. Edit: This matches the NAM and FV3 hires pretty well. RGEM and HRRR maybe moving it east to quickly. Looks determined to push NW at the moment.
  24. Hurricane season starts early and ends late on the 3k NAM
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