Before landfall but not at landfall. Kind of makes sense since it was moving so slow and the strongest winds were on the back side of the storm. The core would have interacted with land for about 6 hrs before the strongest winds got onshore.
The HRDPS sometimes beats the American mesoscale models on convective setups in the northern half of the country. HRDPS was the only one to have the line this far southwest.
If I told you that we would get near record setting Greenland blocks in December and March would anyone of the long range forecasters have predicted we'd get no snow from either?
12z CMC was the best run by far. Even if it showed no snow, it was perfect with the high position SLP track and 500mb track. I'll take my chances with that.
The heavy band in SW CT will likely become a death band once it gets into a spot cold enough for snow.
Edit: This matches the NAM and FV3 hires pretty well. RGEM and HRRR maybe moving it east to quickly. Looks determined to push NW at the moment.