Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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AI GFS and AI Euro did pretty good this week. They better not let us down next week.
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A dusting on the grass here in columbia
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The EuroAI at least makes an attempt at a decent southern stream wave. All other models show a strung out smothered frontal ripple.
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How many epic patterns does it take to get an average winter around here?
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31 and we've got some zr and pingers
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It's close some lake effect snow and a couple of sprinkles over Florida.
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Ecmwf almost gets the entire country precip free on friday.
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We specialize in wasting great patterns. We are also good at melting whatever we do get within 24hrs.
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500mb setup should allow the coastal to track further west and dump a foot or two from Goergia to Maine. Of course its fantasy land and nothing like that will verify.
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Oh good, Atlanta gets more than us on this run.
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It takes an entire month of blocking to get 4" of snow in our region. Pathetic.
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Right on Q, Nam goes from having the least precip, to having the most precip in 1 run.
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So out of the 10 opportunities for snow in the next 16 days how many will actually pan out?
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Just a bit of a 50/50 low.
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The 200mb jet streak running e-w just north of us is in a nice spot at 150-180 hrs if the gulf disturbance can make it here.
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Icon 180 looks nice
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Nam has more ridging offshore and it's keeping the troff axis further west over Indiana at 60hrs. EDIT: And it still gets booted offshore at 66hrs. Need that troff to stay intact longer.
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Typical Nina pattern. First it's cold, dry and windy with the freezing line down to Georgia, then there's a storm or two 300 miles offshore. Then when we finally do get a storm that brings us precip, the freezing line retreats to just south of Buffalo, NY. Then we rinse and repeat.
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What makes you think we're getting that much?
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Looks good for a few inches assuming thats snow.
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Icon is digging west also fwiw. Also digging the trailing wave over west Canada further west at 72, which could help.
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The southwest part of the troff drags back too much for a negative tilt.
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Only about 22mb weaker off cape cod this run. It's like it's rolling the dice with the laws of physics every run.
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Well the GFS only has one day 4 bust so far this week, so it's overdue.
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Widespread > 12" east of Colorado and south of 42N rarely happens, but the GFS loves to show it.
