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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. The problem with the strong northern stream is that it takes the storm from suppressed to Binghamton to Burlington jackpot with very few solutions in-between. Really where did you think it was going to snow? We need a new hobby.
  2. A few hours of SN- with some snow squalls on the backside
  3. Still looks a lot more promising than the first one
  4. In March 1999 we had a similar H5 track to what the Euro is showing, but the leading airmass was colder.
  5. I like wave 2 on the GFS this run. It's where we want it at this range.
  6. I don't know if it's been mentioned yet but today is the 10th anniversary of DCs greatest winter storm.
  7. ICON has a good track but the surface is in the mid to upper 30s so it's all rain. Just too many hoops for this to jump through.
  8. EPS still looks good around the 18th. You can see the classic 2 lobe Negative height anomaly off one blob off the east coast and another in the Ohio valley. The SE ridge is gone.
  9. I don't have my hopes up for this upcoming event. Sure we have great blocking but the PAC and the SE ridge are not cooperating. They haven't all winter. I admit I can't completely rule it out but I don't it's coming back. It was only ever on the CMC and EPS control anyway. Both the GEFS and the EPS show a period of below normal heights with no SE ridge the 14th- the 20th., my money is on the day after ST Patty's day.
  10. The CMC is a lot better than 1960. It's the Delmarva version of the Blizzard of 78.
  11. It puts the Heaviest snow axis along the Delmarva, But the negative tilt occurs far enough west that it would never actually escape east.
  12. I'd forgive DJF for blowing chunks if that verified.
  13. OMG CMC. Looks like the blizzard of 78 300 miles south.
  14. Completely different handling of the pacific again day 7
  15. We don't need a cutter to get screwed. We have lots of other tricks up our sleeve.
  16. We do have a good pattern in place and a strong signal for an event. It's hard to get excited considering how many times we've been screwed in 2021 by events that started north of the MD line. Seems like we end up on the southern fringe of KU storms a lot, and of course not pattern will ensure it doesn't happen again.
  17. I was actually going to waste time on it until I saw the Euro 240 and extrapolated it out another 36 hrs.
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