Jump to content

Amped

Members
  • Posts

    13,655
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Amped

  1. ICON trended back south FWIW. Also an EPS member has a 961mb low over S IL and a GEFS member with a 965mb low in a similar spot also FWIW
  2. Anyone remember the 12/10/97 event? It was a bust Boston. We ended up with about 6" of paste in SW CT when we were supposed to get rain. I'm kind of reminded of that event from the surface map even though 500mb doesn't really look similar.
  3. Only if Maryland annexes Buffalo, Detroit and Cleveland.
  4. Everything in the MS and OH valley has shifted north. Not the trend we want.
  5. Even if the GFS is right with the track, it's probably at least 10mbs too deep with the pressure.
  6. CMC 990mb primary gets overtaken by a 996mb coastal low, also a strange solution. Coastal lows almost never end up being weaker than the primary.
  7. If the GFS ends up verifying this time winter is rigged against us.
  8. GFS well west of the iCON. Probably gonna keep it's stupid crapps runner this run.
  9. Yeah better change it's mind on the Sub 980mb low over KY. You need a Cleveland superbomb or an Mayfield Tornado to get that to happen anyway.
  10. ICON is a huge hit at 141hrs. Heavy snow except for extreme southern areas. If it could not trend anymore that'd be great.
  11. ICON a little north of it's 18z run at 114, but well SE of the 18z GFS at 120.
  12. Agreed, keeping the troff positively tilted like the Euro is key here. The blocking is never going to force a 976MB bomb over W KY to reform east of Ocean City.
  13. You can see from comparing the CMC, GFS and Euro, everything very dependent on how much the PV knocks down the heights ahead of the storm. Seems similar to 1/26/11, without the morning round.
  14. This is why I hate solutions that involve a piece of energy ejecting through the ridge. It never works out. Haven't gotten any threats to survive inside day 6 this year.
  15. Got a block and a 50/50 low for once. We manage to cash in while it lasts this time.
  16. Maybe we should all go outside look up at the sky and yell at the storm to make more fookin cold air it'll trend snowier. I'm out of ideas for saving this winter.
  17. 36F at the surface and -0.2C at 850mb. We just need the storm to make a little more of it's own cold air.
×
×
  • Create New...