Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Still not a great trend since 12z yesterday, the southern stream looking flatter and more progressive. We need the opposite.
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Euro is halfway between it's 12z and 18z runs.
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We can work with that. CMC and UKIE not so much.
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The GFS does look like December 2009 96hrs out if it makes everyone happy.
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GFS was the trash model yesterday, now it's smellin like a rose.
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Been a fun 48 hrs.
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Yes I'd still like to see the Euro return to a stronger more consolidated ull like 00z
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Keep the jackpot a little to our southeast until 60hrs out. Then we can start willing it north.
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It's digging the NS further west over the Rockies. That should be enough for a cave in. If not then next run.
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Gfs should join the party this run.
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Lol the colors. That's only like 3" more.
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991 we can do better. 975 over OC or bust
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Here's a bookmark to Ian's old thread on DC snowstorm analogs, in case anyone's interested.
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The Jma the most important model of all is also a hit. Similar to the Euro but in much lower resolution.
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Make some noise
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1004mb to 959mb in 18hrs on the cmc. 144 to 162.
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Cmc looks better than the gfs. It's ejecting the southern stream at hr 120.
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Gotta love how the ICON has the southern stream in OK at the same time as the Gfs and Cmc have it in AZ. Only 1000 miles difference.
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Looking at the 500mb trends on the op Euro and Gfs, there's no reason for a se shift. It's the same setup with higher heights out in front if anything.
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This setup isn't messing around. We haven't had all major models showing a storm like this in the medium range in a long time.
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Pretty sure it's going to match with a few KU storms on the cips analog page. Pattern looks almost textbook. Not to say we can't get screwed.
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If you averaged the January 1966 and the February 1978 storms, you'd get the latest Gfs run.
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I'm visiting my folks in CT if the GFS verifies. That looks insane.
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I'd say it has a better handle on the 500mb pattern than the Gfs or CMC. It's at least looked kinda similar the last few runs.
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I'm rooting for the Ukmet/con 500mb setup and betting on the surface low traking further west.
