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Amped

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Everything posted by Amped

  1. Amped
    Team Nam is overdue.
  2. Amped
    This is not the type of setup that usually trends south. Almost never happens with a major system coming out of the MS Valley.
  3. Amped
    UKmet looks pretty similar to 12z everywhere. Just noise.
  4. Amped
    Some pretty weak rates up north. Most of the action is with the initial thump further south near the sleet line.
  5. Amped
    That 15" bullseye over Chester VA and the southern portion of the Del Marva seems a bit too suppressed. It never works out for that area.
  6. Amped
    GFS is becoming a bigger outlier every run.
  7. Amped
    Gfs caved in with the jet in the pac nw. It's flatter at hr 27 compared to 12z. Should mean less amplification downstream.
  8. Amped
    People need to realize you can mix and still get the jackpot. The January 2011 storm had about 6hrs of sleet in areas that got over 10". It might be the case with this storm as well due to the strong confluence zone and trailing ULL.
  9. Amped
    Pretty much what the 18z Nam has. It must have read my post.
  10. Amped
    I'll take the front end thump on the Euro that drops a foot of snow in 3 hrs over Richmond but shifted north 100 miles followed by the gfs back end ULL pasage.
  11. Amped
    Looks more like the ICON. Most snow for I70, even with sleet and a dryslot.
  12. Amped
    I'll still take it over the NAM 90% of the time.
  13. Amped
    Of course, he doesn't comment on the Euro showing a 12" jackpot over Chincoteague, which is equally out to lunch. Cmc is the only sane one.
  14. Amped
    It's in a really good spot for 72hrs out. Might even want it a bit further south.
  15. Amped
    You can see the GFS amplifies the ridge over the west coast during the 36-48hr period while the Euro/CMC/UKMET keep it flatter. This is the likely cause of the GFSs stronger further north solution.
  16. Amped
    I am liking this CMC trend. Temporarily lifting finger slightly off the panic button.
  17. Amped
    CMC is well south of the GFS through 66hrs. Downstream confluence much stronger.
  18. Amped
    Could be some decent backend snows as well. This does look kind of similar to the 1/2019 setup.
  19. Amped
    DC jackpot, always works out.
  20. Amped
    6" with 20' drifts.
  21. Amped
    Gfs phases the PV in the Gulf of Maine. A few inches of snow and some impressive wind.
  22. Amped
    GFS looks odd, but you gotta admire the way the cmc just shreds the energy when there's not a strong confluence zone. Makes even less sense.
  23. Amped
    One of the largest snow swaths you'll ever see. Extends all the way back to NM
  24. Amped
    First flurries of the year
  25. Amped
    Rafael was not supposed to be this strong in the gulf.
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