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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Need some serious CAA for the Park to go below 30 this late. Suburbs that radiate well are a different story .
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    -50 for the winter low is even more wild. Have to garage a vehicle or good luck starting it. .
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I went to college in Maryland and the springs down there are amazing. Coming home on a weekend was a shock from fully leafed out trees to stick season in 250 miles. What we have today is not abnormal but after the first 80 here in SW Nassua yesterday it definitely is not pleasant. .
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Water temps to our north east, especially in Atlantic Canada are extremely cold after a very cold winter up there. So the cold wants to bleed south west. We need a big ridge to overpower the cold bleed. Once that happens it’s game on. .
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty wild. First 80 here. 78 at jfk which is a little closer to the water. .
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Barely a sea breeze today so it’s roasting here just inland. Warmest day so far this season. .
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Likely early start to the monsoon. Especially with a developing nino. Could put a lid on the heat dome in the SW limiting heat ejections. How much that effects us here, I’m not sure. .
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s a legit ob from an ASOS station. As far as a micro climate sure. It’s in the heart of the dwarf pine barrens which is characterized by extremely sandy soils and radiates better then any non deep valley location on the east coast. Regardless of KFOK, KJK was almost 10 degrees cooler then the park or KLGA. .
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I vividly remember snow ripping during the day during better banding. It would finally start to accumulate with slush caked to absolutely everything. Then rates would diminish and it would change to light rain and everything would melt. The ultimate tease storm. .
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just got back from a run and I’m sweating like crazy. Just far enough inland to get into some decent warmth. Decent fetch over land in western Nassua on the south shore vs eastern Nassua and Suffolk. .
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    North shore doing its thing. Low 60s here but the south wind is back so as soon as it overwhelms solar insulation we are dropping through the 50s .
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I should have been here watching the models with you guys. I was dealing with some issues, back for good now. .
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah going to be one of those springs on the south shore. Lots of misery mist while the city west is 70+ and sunny. .
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ambrose jet event with strong southerly winds localized close to shore on western LI .
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Great example of UHI from this morning. Approximately 80 miles apart and similar coastal locations, elevations and latitude. KCPK 34 KFOK 13 Not to derail a great discussion. I have been following you’re great analysis of the SW climate change induced warming over the years. .
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    34 CPK and LGA 13 KFOK Pretty epic UHI .
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    34 CPK and LGA 13 KFOK Pretty epic UHI .
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah I did not mention lows as we are all on the same page. There are some great ways to mitigate urban heat islands that are sadly underutilized. Green roofs, painting asphalt white and mitigation of suburban sprawl. Regardless of the UHI influence (which is hard to quantify) it’s a historic and unprecedented run. .
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m not discounting this event is highly influenced by climate change, but in regards to Pheonix at least some of the temp increase is related to the UHI. I don’t see any reference to that in the data provided. Pheonix pre 1970s isn’t comparable to today. .
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Coastal geomorphology. That tight right 90 degree angle is the perfect surge enhancer. That’s why the big bend in Florida is also so surge prone. Along with our enormous shallow continental shelf. One of the biggest in the world.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Imelda is going to be a mean bitch. Carribean cruiser, cat 5.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah it’s fuels both hurricanes and the temperature differences that power nor’easters. Without the Gulf Stream the weather in the northeast would be much more mundane.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Up here on Long Island Erin took the water temps from the high 70s to the high 60s temps recovered to the low 70s which is about normal for this time of year. Hurricanes in the north east derive their energy from the Gulf Stream and will weaken once above the north wall. It’s a function of the long shallow continental shelf.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There’s no way 190 ace is happening with a lull right during peak season. A strong backend is still likely based on increased vertical instability but it’s going to be hard to make up for lost time. Erin also cooled a large portion of the typical recurve track which will limit future storm intensity in that region.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah, went from foggy and zero wind at 6am to blasting north wind (gusts 60+) by noon under deep blue skies. One of the more incredible weather days we have seen in our life times. I remember walking up the beach into sand blasting gusts and having to hold on to my board for dear life.
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