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LongBeachSurfFreak

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  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Merry Christmas, to my weather extended family. Been on this board since 2011, that’s a long time. Hope everyone had a nice day irregardless of religion. Pretty typical Christmas weather these days. To think it was -01 for my first Christmas…
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s exactly it. It’s what November was pre 1990. I would even stretch to there were Octobers in the mid 1800s that were comparable to what December is now. The entire global system is so out of wack that, extremes can and still do happen, so it’s not like we aren’t going to see major snow storms anymore. We just need things to go our way. Which as of right now, they most certainly aren’t.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That super long fetch originating all the way down in the Caribbean did its job with some of the highest wave high we have seen since sandy. Had tides lined up this would have been a major disaster. Even still, I witnessed some severe erosion. Especially at lido beach in long beach where a 8’ cliff snow exists for beach access. I have the vids but they will not posts
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah. If you saw my posts from a few days ago, it’s the fetch starting all the way down in the Caribbean. Largest fetch I have ever seen on the east coast, so despite winds not being incredible, the distance did its job.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Largest surf since sandy, is going to cause major beach erosion as we approach high tide. I’m heading down to take pics and videos.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Starting to roar. The offshore waves heights are mind boggling. Pushing 30 feet south of us which means with continued fetch we could be over 30 feet in the morning. Once a decade fetch event occurring. Major beach wash overs coming.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yup, I just posted in the NYC thread, everyone thought Isias was meh, until it went full ballistic. Just like now, you could see the obs down south. This one’s going to bite, hard.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Obs from the Carolina’s, say this is real. Very impressive for a non tropical event down there. And the seas are just nuts, with a huge fetch. 27’ at 14 seconds off South Carolina doesn’t happen often.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The same thing happened with Isias. It was meh, until it went ballistic. Looking at the obs down south, we should see something similar wind wise.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Seriously impressive observations coming out of that area. If that makes it up here this is going to be a very high impact event. Seas peaked at 33’ during sandy at 44065 Ny harbor buoy. Seeing high 20’s in the Carolina’s is very impressive.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The wave heights of the Carolina’s are nuts. 27 feet at 14 seconds! If that translates up here (it should) this could be a very high impact erosion event. Timing is off however with high tides and peak surge, and obviously the moon phase however.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Those are near record seas for a non tropical event that far south. This storm is the real deal.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Based on buoy observations from down south, this storm means business for the coast. Huge fetch area, will build seas over 20’ and periods high enough to cause wash overs and severe beach erosion.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    This one has juice. There was a niño storm in December 94, that split one of the big silver maples in my parents house back yard. Similar track, and winds roared, probably 70+. Lots of trees down on the south shore. I was young but one of the underrated events I remember.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s a pretty incredible fetch for the east coast. That would definitely build seas over 20’. Luckily we are in low astronomical tides at the time. Otherwise there would be a serious coastal flooding and erosion threat.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The most shocking thing is the low snow pack in the mountains out west. Ninos usually bring prolific snows to the California mountains especially.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You’re not alone I love temp stats too. And interesting temp anomalies. Like the pine barrens.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Riverdale, up along van Cortland park, is defined the coldest snowiest area of the city. It’s basically a different climate zone. Lots of open space (van cortland park is huge) and some hilly elevation, basically an extension of southern westchester.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m about 2 miles NW of the Central Park observation spot. Cpk had an official low of 33 and the ground is frozen here at 120th and Broadway on campus. Pretty amazing how tight the urban heat island is. Just a little bit more open space up here on the far uws was enough to get to freezing. NYC has got to be one of the most unique weather environments on the planet.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty hard core snow showers to our north currently. They should at least survive into the northern suburbs.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    See 97/98. I remember one of the nor’easters changing rain to extremely heavy dinner plate snow and dropping a quick inch. But it was rainstorm after rainstorm even with perfect benchmark tracks. Pacific jet on steroids will do that. Luckily, this isn’t as strong a nino. Hence my positivity for the jan24-feb24 period. We aren’t getting shut out this year.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Jan 15 -Feb 15 winter. Nino climo. Be there, aloha.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was in college at Towson U from 00-04. Winter of 02/03 was absolutely epic. They were using bulldozers to move the snow on the beltway after the Presidents’ Day storm. We had a legit layered snow pack that lasted deep into March. Real winters once existed in the mid Atlantic.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Congrats Mt Washington. Given that airmass you’re going to need to be above 4,000’ for snow.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Read it, and other linked articles, thanks!!! Absolutely loved it. I think we are the two guys with the biggest passions for both meteo and geo on the board. I think it’s going to take a high end, high sulfur vie 7 for us to see a true winter in our lifetimes. Hopefully is comes from the least inhabited place, maybe Patagonia.
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