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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The big question for western li is does the temp stay below freezing. We haven’t seen that in some recent events that had a change over. But if it does snow removal will be very difficult with sleet and ice. I like 4” at my parents on the bay 6” at my place in Lynbrook and 10” at work on the far uws
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I wouldn’t automatically assume your going to mix. When all is said and done 95% of your precip likely falls as snow with maybe a period of light sleet and freezing drizzle which will hardly be noticed. Your certainly not going above freezing. The CAD is going to be intense on NE winds. For those that do not think it’s possible look at November 18. Watch that wind direction. south shore Suffolk and the jersey shore are a different story being more open to warming on that wind
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    He’s clearly trolling. He occasionally has some good input. But this is total Bs. Unless he’s talking about the jersey shore
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looking more and more likely we can start locking in 12”+ for the metro. As always with these big systems someone will sit under banding and approach 2’. I’m still hesitant for the south shore. Could easily get on the wrong side of the coastal front at some point
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Mostly rain on the uws. Had a few pellets at the onset
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, just look at the what it did with Jan 15. It’s going to snow in NYC. It’s just a matter dog how much mix we get. I like where I’ll be on the far NW UWS. Right on the beaches may struggle do to the warm water temps and early season nature of this storm
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The big concern in the city is what happens to all the outdoor dinning setups. If we do end up getting over a foot, where does all the snow go??? Interesting times on the way!!
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think about that all the time. Equinox has the potential for more vert then any mountain in Vermont. The terrain also appears to be very challenging (maybe too challenging) The lack of snowfall at the lower elevations part makes sense though in the days before snow making. It’s a perfect location too with a great town right there.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pushing moderate snow at the moment on the yes, ground is whitening on colder surfaces
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Flurries on the uws
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was just looking at that on radar. Very persistent with some solid echos by OES standards. I could see 4” if the ground truth is solid.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Awesome! I love that place. The top of the lift has some incredible views of the Southern Greens. It’s also a great snow spot as it always seems to upslope well by SVT standards. I hike and ride it several times a winter.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    For a week yes. But after a week it would get old real fast. The weather is too extreme to enjoy. On many days it’s just not humanly possible to be outside for more then a few minutes at a time. I have been out in -20 with 40mph winds in the Vermont mountains and it’s not at all appealing. The major thing I’m liking about this winter so far (cold season) are the differences from the last two. The last two winters were as bad as it can get for the immediate coast so to see a different storm track and pattern is at least somewhat encouraging. We almost had a real shutout last winter with 3” near the bay.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’ll answer you here from the other post. Yes there were mangled flaked mixed in when I was leaving my apt. I’m just south of the southern state on Franklin ave. Not the worst snow spot on the island. Probably right on the rain snow line in some marginal events. I actually witnessed that last winter with one event were I had an inch at the apt and there was only a dusting at the train station. It can be that tight at times.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s over anywhere west of central Suffolk. The highest terrain out there must have snow mixed in with that deform band. That would be 2-4” an hour if it were colder
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, you can see the snow going by overhead. I had a few mangled flakes driving to my parents in wantagh from lynbrook. I thought for sure you would have seen at least some snow there being higher, but the winds trip across the sound is probably ruining that. I bet the top of the Nordstrom tower in Manhattan (it has a flat roof and would be an epic observation spot at 1550’) had a few inches
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    First flakes of the season earlier on the UWS. It’s a start.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Back in the 90s this would have been a 100k outage event with lots of trees down. Events of this level seem to yearly now. the ocean was impressive with the straight onshore flow. Waves were breaking as far out as the eye could see well past any sand bars
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Depends on the type of tree. The city planted tons of pears as replacements over the years and they hold their leaves extremely late, sometimes till Christmas. Almost all native species have lost their leaves with the exception of some oaks. If anything this years leaf drop was earlier then the past few as we had the cool shot in late October.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Fits a Niña look under normal circumstances. But what’s normal now? I’ll keep expectations low for now and hope for the best!
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s nuts, stronger then anything during Isias. Anyone have the live power outage numbers?
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Those are big power outage numbers coming out of Ohio and Michigan for leafless trees. Pretty high end event and on par with something you would usually see from a very strong storm, tropical or a derecho.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Beautiful low topped squall line out in Pa. They rarely verify for high winds but maybe this one produces. Pretty windy on the SS currently with gusts around 40mph consistently. We often see the strongest winds just before and after frontal passages in this these setups
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Throw out the analogs. There are enough differences from the last two winters to offer some hope that we at least break the streak of no 6” or greater storms for the coast. The last two winters were epic fails south of the southern state.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We actually had some cool weather in October this year, which we didn’t have in last years. That really pushed everything forward. Even in the city trees are dropping quick.
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