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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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Good to see. Heading up there tomorrow.
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Active seasons are almost a lock now unless we have a moderate or stronger Nino. Our buffer zone of sub 80 degree water keeps shrinking as well. It’s only a matter of time before we see a cat three rocket up the coast 38 style
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R/s line was hovering around 3,000’ during the day today in SVT. Here at my house at 1400’ precip ended before we got any colder air in. Based on some pretty heavy rates after I left the mountain there should be something like 6” above 3500’. Still plenty of snow left even at 1400 with 100% coverage and an average of about 12”. (North facing)
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Snowing above 3,000 today at Stratton, about 2” of mashed potatoes before I got too soaked lower down and had to call it a day. If it keeps ripping up high this could be a nice little event
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OBS and nowcast mainly midnight - Noon Thursday Feb 11
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Only about an 1” on the uws. We seemed to be just north or south of the best banding -
Just look at what happened to Montreal In Jan 98. Just a massive system wide power failure taking multiple weeks to fix. That’s a multi billion dollar disaster I do not want to witness. I’m waiting for my cat 3 Long Island hurricane strike, which will have similar effects.
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Very true, the Jan 94 ice storm was .5-.75” of ice. Impactful but not significant. If we were to ever have a 1”+ ice storm in the metro it would make any of our wind events looks like a walk in the park as far as power issues
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OBS and nowcast mainly midnight - Noon Thursday Feb 11
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I use visibility markers using blocks in the city. One of the easiest places to do it. Looks like it’s snowing much harder in the southern part of the city vs. northern. -
Significant snow - ice or rain Feb 10-12
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snowing nicely now on the uws. Looks like there could be a decent cutoff from north to south in the city. -
Highly unlikely, suppression depression is the way to go
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Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Precip trajectory lot looking good for the city south. By the time the southern moisture plume meets up with the northern it wilL most likely be too late for the coast. Allot of wasted cold last night. KFOK got down to 6 last night, and with an onshore flow will rocket above freezing. -
Obs and nowcast Super Bowl Sunday 4A-6P Feb 7, 2021
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
About 4” on the uws -
Much better snow climate up there. They are generally a few degrees colder then us which makes all the difference in marginal storms. The best example being April 97
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January 16 2021 - Inland runner Rain/Snow/Wind
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Had about 20” above 2k at Stratton. About 16” of wet snow at my house at 1600’. Power is out with lots of tree damage -
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I always wondered what our winter temps would be like if we just sat in our own airmass. No injections of cold from the north or warmth from the south. I think this is just slightly cooler then what you would get as we do have a little northerly component to the flow.
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Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Rain snow mix currently on the far uws -
Obs and nowcast Sun 9A Jan 3 - 6A Mon Jan 4 2021
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Had a few sleet pellets but mostly rain on the south shore. Heading to the uws later today for snow removal standby (not going to turn down the OT despite the fact that it will likely be a non event)