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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There are actually several Palm species that can survive our winters. The most notable is the Windmill Palm. It’s the coldest lows that make the biggest difference. An average winter pre 1980s had a lowest temp averaging around 5. Recently it’s been more like 15.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Great find Bluewave. Tremendous work by Tom Anderson. With continued learning accuracy will increase further. I’m not sure there is much hope for indigenous communities in regards to sea ice however. Villages are literally falling into the sea as a result of erosion caused by the lack of sea ice. Talk about disparity’s in climate change effects on given community’s.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Looked like it was close to being a derecho. Just never really consolidated
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They are just starting to make into western Nassau. I have found a few on the UWS. They are bad news.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Your adding extra insulation into the system that would normally be reflected into space by ice.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Apparently he never looked back at the 80s-early 90s
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    September is the new august and October the new September. It’s pretty hard to cool down early with the lack of sea ice slowing arctic cooling.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s a really impressive looking line for this time of night.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I highly doubt the wind caused the outage. Just run of the mill SW wind with sea breeze enhancement. And to answer your other comment, Long Island is much more prone to surge flooding then freshwater rainfall flooding.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The swells will hardly be minor. Hurricane force wind area and captured fetch are two of the biggest components of swell generation and they will both be major for Larry. Long period swells are excellent stores of energy. Larry will likely lead to major beach erosion and wash overs as a multi day event
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I enjoyed all the rain being in horticulture, made for less watering. Well I enjoyed it until Ida, which flooded every building on the campus I work on. That was not fun.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed. And this will be far from a fish storm. This will be a prolific swell producer that will lead to beach erosion and wash overs up and down the east coast. And being after prime beach season most beaches will not have life guards to keep idiots out of the water
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You were right the first time. I do not have the time currently to list the all the reasons why. A quick answer would be to compare the damage costs from Floyd to those from Sandy. Floyd caused similar fresh water flooding to Ida.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s all perspective. For some this was an inconvenience, only 2” at the wantagh meso in the neighborhood I grew up in, which was devastated during sandy. The difference is Sandy was more then an inconvenience for everyone as it also had widespread wind impacts.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Hands down the worst flash flooding I have ever seen on campus on the uws currently. All storm drains were shooting water out
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There’s going to be a stratiform rain shield with lots of yellows and oranges on the radar on the north side that will produce an even 4-6”. It’s the south side where there will be banding with much heavier rates and isolated 10”+ amounts that will be the danger zone. As always it will be impossible to predict exactly where the bands set up.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s not going regain tropical characteristics but it will get a baroclynic boost. Regardless there are going to be flooding issues in the mid Atlantic. We had 7” of rain in NYC from Henri last week and another 2” since then. 6 more inches in a short time will cause major flash flooding
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If that’s the case there is going to be major flash flooding. I’m very concerned about water table rise as well.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Grand Isle missed the inner eye wall and worst surge. And as you said hurricanes travel with their surge, if this had been a long track 4 the surge would have been much greater. Another thing to consider is the building types in the area. Almost everything right near the water is on pilings. That stretch of coast is so incredibly hurricane prone things are built to last through even a major.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    6” of rain after the the recent rains will cause major problems. When we had 10+ inches in October 05 on the island the whole water table rose on my parents block and flooded everyone’s basements
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I feel really bad about coastal areas there that are board flat. This is pretty close to a worst case scenario.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m worried about soft ground issues on the island. We had another moderate rain event (2” at the wantagh meso and more over parts of Suffolk) this weekend. Trees are sitting in soup. Add another major rain event and it will not take much wind to cause problems.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The wind has been relentless at Jones beach all day. Sand storm conditions with winds sustained 25 and gusting to 35mph
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think we see something similar to Katrina where within 12 hours you have this monster crystal clear eye pop on satellite. No just RI but explosive intensification. OHC is just perfect
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Max overall 175 max at landfall 140 pressure at landfall 922 location New Iberia
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