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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. Somewhere in Rockland County hiding in the confluence.
  2. Finally getting beautiful dendrites after hours of pixie dust on the uws it’s officially begun
  3. It was always there. We are going to score a couple inches just on this first round this evening. The banding tomorrow morning will be impressive. We should see a western band with decent rates 1-2” hr and then the big show with 2-4” hr somewhere in Suffolk. Where these bands are is everything
  4. Find me a historical example via satellite image for a low sub 980…. doesn’t exist
  5. The usual cast of characters up to their usual nonsense. Though i think snowman is on to something with the western cutoff. There will be allot of subsidence on the outside of the westernmost band. Where that sets up will determine who’s happy and who’s not
  6. This is a much much deeper storm. I think we get into the 960s which is no joke. Storms of that magnitude always have that almost extra tropical look.
  7. Ding ding ding. We are right on schedule i still do not believe the multi center idea i think we see a classic nor’easter with a beautiful satellite presentation with an eye and who ever gets the western deform band is still going to get historic numbers
  8. Oh no…… can we please wait another month! never really got past a dusting on the uws
  9. Based on historical president I just don’t see it happening that way. Every one of our classic super low pressure lows have had a single eye like feature im still going to go with 12” for nyc 18” Nassau and somewhere in Suffolk sees 30”
  10. There will be tons of thunder snow out there. The dynamics are incredible. Hopefully cantori sets up in a good spot
  11. Check out Rhode Island during 78. And the Albany area during 1888. While unlikely it’s not impossible
  12. Absolutely agreed! This has all the hallmarks of a KU. If we see 952 pressure (extremely rare) your talking hurricane force gusts and huge drifting for the coast.
  13. Much deeper low. If the stars align this could end up one of the greats
  14. That’s about as beautiful of a mean you will see for a KU event for NYC to BOS. This ones very legit. The question is, is this a Nantucket mauler and we get fringed or is this a rain in the tucket and we get buried.
  15. Looks like it’s game time. This is giving me the chills. If we reach those pressures we are talking one of the greats with the full plate of impacts. From feet of snow (most likely east) to damaging winds and major coastal flooding.
  16. 97/98, 0 accumulating snow during calendar winter. Can’t use one example of a fluke storm. They are normally our least snowy Enso state
  17. You could see the IVT off the Nj coast on radar overnight. If that had been 30-50 miles north the island would have scored a few surprise inches. Coating on the uws, actually slightly more then on the island
  18. How’s 6” on April 10th sound? After the green up in February.
  19. Just a coating on colder surfaces on the uws, and that’s mostly out on the lawns on campus, if you walked around the rest of the uws it doesn’t even look like it snowed
  20. All snow and starting to stick to colder surfaces on the UWS. What ever is left at the end of this isn’t going anywhere
  21. Our warm patterns always over preform in our new climate. We could see some very warm days in early feb. The worst part is that’s our prime snow climo. The last thing we want is to toss feb and have blocking re-emerge for March. That seems to happen about every other year now.
  22. That’s exactly the issue, we aren’t going to get there on evaporational cooling alone. We need colder air to move into the surface. its A race
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