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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Checking the buoys the strong winds are still way off shore. This is going to have to move west fast before the storm starts to occlude and winds die.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Any insight on how much snow fell in the Sierras? I’d have to imagine the snow level was high, but above it many feet fell. Good start to the winter snow pack!
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We could see our strongest October nor’easter since 97. The 97 storm had gusts to near hurricane force on Long Island with trees in full leaf causing lots of tree damage. Could we see a repeat?
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s hard to say. You would need to run the exact pattern with January temps to find out exactly. This could easily be an inland blizzard in January. Coast would see something like March 19. It’s been very dry near the coast which could cause rain to runoff faster then normal. Could easily see flash flooding issues in the usual spots. winds look strong enough to take down a few trees as it’s been a while since we have had winds of the magnitude from that direction with trees in full leaf
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    In our old Climate this was definitely true. The problem is we have seen ultra persistent patterns in recent years. The question is how long this can hold. It’s not what we want to see.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nightmare pattern for us if it were mid winter. We need to see big big changes if we want a snowy winter.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. We saw what happened after the record cold in November 18/19.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s really the new normal. I’m sure you have seen me talk about by sea ice theory. It just takes the Arctic take longer to cool when you need to time to create ice. Today is great! I love this weather when I get hot working I just shed the jacket.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have been trying. I just got approval to do a tree of heaven removal with my garden club in Morningside Park in Manhattan. They were loaded with them the last time I checked, but only spotty elsewhere so far here on the uws
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Hopefully we get some strong storms for some solid rain. We are starting to flash to drought. Gone are the days of nice even precipitation distribution. Feast or famine
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That would be great. We need the rain as things have really dried out the last couple weeks city, east. And. To break the monotony of one of the most boring weather periods possible.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly what I’m hoping for. We have had serious cold and snow in Vermont the last few Novembers. I distinctly remember thinking, wow this is more like mid winter conditions only multiple occasions. That through out west means business currently. But the rubber band can snap quick.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I was just thinking the exact same thing. There’s only so much water they can pump at any given time. I’m starting to get a little nervous about the early season. Hopefully we see a snap to much colder in November that we have seen in recent years
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    On the positive side of things the extension of the growing season is pretty cool. M vegetable gardens are still producing nicely. Annuals stay healthy now well into November. Assuming we do not have one of those shock Arctic outbreaks. We went from full growing season to the teens in 18/19.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Our precipitation patterns have become increasingly volatile. After the extremely wet summer we have dried out again. Any fall color you see from the city south and east is from water stressed trees. Tough times to be in the horticulture field.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not surprising with the secondary peak. I would Be shocked if we do not see another major somewhere in the Caribbean before the end of the season
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s insane. They are just getting into the city. I did an invasive species tour in morning side park last Friday for students and we killed as many as we could find in the tree of heaven. There were maybe 10 per tree.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Clearly weakening again as it moves over cooler waters. I agree though it likely peaked around 120mph yesterday evening though.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have always theorized that the Gulf Stream limits upwelling as warm water is moving fast. I think that may have aided Sam in reaching near maximum possible intensity given water temps. Overall a true classic MDR hurricane. Had it been a couple hundred miles west it would be an all timer.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Feels more like an august rainy day then October on the uws part of what I believe is our new climate. With arctic sea ice dwindling it takes longer for the Arctic to cool in autumn and cool downs less likely and less intense.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Big swell periods 17 seconds are just starting to show on the offshore buoys. It’s the period that matters most for washovers. Anything over 14 seconds but especially 17 seconds. They contain the most energy and are moving the fastest, kinds like mini tsunamis.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Last thing that place needed. I actually had a good time when I went. I kept my expectations extremely low, and it was fun to ride off season
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If only you were are surfer. The term “fish storm” does not apply. I’ll throw in ocean front home owner too, during Bill there were serious wash-overs and beach erosion from a storm that stayed offshore https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bill_(2009)
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Another prolific swell producer. Larry was a top 5 all time swell for me. This looks in that ball park
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Finally a heavy rain threat that underperformed likely due to the fact that there is no tropical storm or hurricane origin. had some brief flooding on campus but pretty run of the mill
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