LongBeachSurfFreak

Starting to get some accretion on the uws only on colder surfaces so far

Snow was obliterated in the city, barely even piles left. Meanwhile on the island still partial coverage. Temps were in the 40s on the island and 50s in the city. Maybe a case of the cooler ocean saving some snow. Regardless it’s going to be a while before temps start to fall again.

Amazing difference in snow amounts from Manhattan to the island. Still full coverage at my dads in Wantagh, partial in queens and basically just piles on the Uws. You can really see where the big snow amounts were now. I still think this storm is backwards for impactful ice for the city area. You want cold before the precip so roads are cold. A little ice on trees isn’t going to effect much. By the time roads cool enough for accretion the precip is over

The difference in snow pack between the uws and Long Island is striking this morning. Temps stayed above freezing over night in the UHI and with less snow to begin with it’s dwindling. On the island it looks like the blizzard happened yesterday. I can’t imagine there will be anything but piles in the city before the rain even gets here. I would be fine with a sleet storm, valentines 07 was pretty incredible. But ice is just too annoying for removal. One thing to consider too, ground temps will be warm going into this which will limit accretion. Our dangerous for the roads ice events occur with the opposite setup, cold before and cold ground temps.

Yes. I run snow removal for a famous college on the uws and have been outside in and among every storm for the last decade. This was a 10” storm. I think it’s more of a psychological issue that the park didn’t record double digits. But as far as impact (drifts, road conditions and lasting power) this storm is pretty much a mirror image of 1/15.

-3.5 during the coldest month of the year is pretty cold. I noticed on the way into work today little neck bay is almost completely frozen. I haven’t seen that since feb 15, so this is legit cold. the difference in visual effects of the storm from the island to the city is incredible. Looks like the aftermath of one of our classic blizzards on the island, in the city…. Not so much

I have been measuring almost every storm the last decade on the uws while doing snow removal and this was a solid 10+. All day.

About 8” on the uws. Probably not going to make a foot but 10” is within reach. With all the blowing and drifting it seems allot more impactful then a normal 8” storm

I don’t see how the low suddenly becomes Unconsolidated. heavy snow currently on the uws with 4/5”

Moderate snow now on the uws, with about 1”

Somewhere in Rockland County hiding in the confluence.

Finally getting beautiful dendrites after hours of pixie dust on the uws it’s officially begun

It was always there. We are going to score a couple inches just on this first round this evening. The banding tomorrow morning will be impressive. We should see a western band with decent rates 1-2” hr and then the big show with 2-4” hr somewhere in Suffolk. Where these bands are is everything

Find me a historical example via satellite image for a low sub 980…. doesn’t exist

The usual cast of characters up to their usual nonsense. Though i think snowman is on to something with the western cutoff. There will be allot of subsidence on the outside of the westernmost band. Where that sets up will determine who’s happy and who’s not

This is a much much deeper storm. I think we get into the 960s which is no joke. Storms of that magnitude always have that almost extra tropical look.

Ding ding ding. We are right on schedule i still do not believe the multi center idea i think we see a classic nor’easter with a beautiful satellite presentation with an eye and who ever gets the western deform band is still going to get historic numbers

Oh no…… can we please wait another month! never really got past a dusting on the uws

Based on historical president I just don’t see it happening that way. Every one of our classic super low pressure lows have had a single eye like feature im still going to go with 12” for nyc 18” Nassau and somewhere in Suffolk sees 30”

There will be tons of thunder snow out there. The dynamics are incredible. Hopefully cantori sets up in a good spot

Light snow with a dusting on the uws

Check out Rhode Island during 78. And the Albany area during 1888. While unlikely it’s not impossible

Absolutely agreed! This has all the hallmarks of a KU. If we see 952 pressure (extremely rare) your talking hurricane force gusts and huge drifting for the coast.

Much deeper low. If the stars align this could end up one of the greats

That’s about as beautiful of a mean you will see for a KU event for NYC to BOS. This ones very legit. The question is, is this a Nantucket mauler and we get fringed or is this a rain in the tucket and we get buried.