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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. That’s not actually true. South of sunrise highway east of the meadowbrook went to all rain on VDay 2007. I was living in Long Beach at the time and went to my parents in south wantagh and was shocked that there was no ice on the trees there. Meanwhile right down to the beach in Lb stayed frozen
  2. That’s a regular winter there. I’m sure their record seasonal is around 300” and snow depth 60”+. That’s probably the snowiest small city in the US outside of the western mountains
  3. Exactly. It’s always good to throw in a little historical precedent. I have been doing snow removal on the far uws while living on the south shore for about a decade. I have experienced many events with similar setups where we have significantly more frozen on the uws then the south shore. There have even been several events with plowable snow/ice on the uws where it’s mainly rain on the SS.
  4. Strange distribution on the island on east winds. It’s hard for it to snow more in MTK then the north shore of Nassau on that wind direction. I think that’s too close to model output vs reality
  5. Pretty unlikely it plays out that way this is one of those setups you do not want to be on the south shore, despite the colder water temps. This has been and always will be a city Nw storm. The northern parts of the city and the extreme north shore of the island are the big question, could be pretty high impact
  6. Again, I’m looking to pad totals and do some snow removal $$$$$$. That’s still a likely scenario. We have cold offshore water temps and some decent cold to start the event. I’m looking for 2-4” including sleet before a change to rain then dry slot. I bet there is snow on the ground Friday. I’m also in the far Nw part of the city, I can see the Gwb from campus.
  7. Since when did you become so negative? Is this an all out snow storm for NYC? No. But can we tack a couple inches (including sleet) on to seasonal totals? Yes. I also look at things from a snow removal and overtime lens.
  8. One thing to consider for the coast is, we have the lowest near shore water temps in several years. If this were December I would say we start and stay rain, but with water temps so cold that can offset the unfavorable wind direction somewhat.
  9. The wind on the island is pretty insane currently, easily gusting to 50mph. Starting to get that distinctive roar through the trees and whistle through the wires
  10. It’s not like that would be static, it’s a smoothed mean. What he’s saying is there’s potential. We definitely shouldn’t close the shades on this winter. I’m fact I think areas NW of the city may have there best stretch of winter still to come
  11. We would definitely salvage a solid winter (new climate) if we can pull off a two week snow pattern at the end of real snow climo. Last week of February and the first week of March really is the end of winter, where you can still hold a snow pack at out latitude.
  12. I don’t think March’s are becoming colder, they just feel colder with early winter warming. It’s pretty easy to see the connection to diminishing sea ice. The open water holds heat and it takes time for the Arctic to cool fully and that effects our cold air source.
  13. Local water temps are now in the 30s for the first time in a couple years. 38 at the Ny harbor buoy. We would be primed if we had a better pattern incoming.
  14. I was just thinking the same thing, with colder temps now that’s easily another inch for central Suffolk east
  15. Snowing decently again in wantagh at my dads house. 4” here, and finally now accumulating on the road, just in time for me to drive home
  16. I just took multiple legit measurements on the uws and all were over 3”
  17. I stay out of politics but I’ll have to check it out just to see that. For quoting absolutely everyone your winning
  18. Good thing, the 3” on cold surfaces on the uws must be imaginary
  19. He’s such a joke, this is now a legit snow event. 2” and heavy snow on the uws starting to stick on pavement finally
  20. Sleet fest on the UWS ground whitening. Even mangled flakes
  21. Light dusting on the uws, 29 currently let’s see what the next batch brings. If it’s snow as well we could see more then a dusting
  22. Just finished salting my campus, lots of ice on the uws. About .10” on the trees, glaze on pavement now
  23. Your actually right about that so far. I have a pretty decent accretion on trees on the uws and roads and even bricks are still wet.
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