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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. Looks like it’s game time. This is giving me the chills. If we reach those pressures we are talking one of the greats with the full plate of impacts. From feet of snow (most likely east) to damaging winds and major coastal flooding.
  2. 97/98, 0 accumulating snow during calendar winter. Can’t use one example of a fluke storm. They are normally our least snowy Enso state
  3. You could see the IVT off the Nj coast on radar overnight. If that had been 30-50 miles north the island would have scored a few surprise inches. Coating on the uws, actually slightly more then on the island
  4. How’s 6” on April 10th sound? After the green up in February.
  5. Just a coating on colder surfaces on the uws, and that’s mostly out on the lawns on campus, if you walked around the rest of the uws it doesn’t even look like it snowed
  6. All snow and starting to stick to colder surfaces on the UWS. What ever is left at the end of this isn’t going anywhere
  7. Our warm patterns always over preform in our new climate. We could see some very warm days in early feb. The worst part is that’s our prime snow climo. The last thing we want is to toss feb and have blocking re-emerge for March. That seems to happen about every other year now.
  8. That’s exactly the issue, we aren’t going to get there on evaporational cooling alone. We need colder air to move into the surface. its A race
  9. Clearly nothing has been learned. Meteorology over modelology. I’m not saying a MEC is on the way but completely throwing in the towel at the juncture is laughable
  10. Best day of the season today hands down at Stratton. 10” of low ratio stuff yesterday and 4” of Champaign powder overnight. That top powder layer was incredible, not the kind of setup southern Vermont sees often. Glades are good too go!
  11. I’m currently at Stratton and it’s about 10” and dumping about 2” an hour currently. So should end up around a foot. Definitely underwhelming this morning
  12. Good old fashioned ripping. 7” and easily 2-3”/hr SVT
  13. 2”/hr rates currently and quickly to 4”. Temp steady at 19 SVT
  14. Heavy snow finally after several hours of moderate rapidly hit 3”. SVT 1000’
  15. Stratton is right in the bullseye in the middle of those mountains and has the highest elevation. They tend to under measure though. Regardless this storm is going to make the winter. 18” with decent ratios (not fluff) will build a nice base to open things up.
  16. Light snow has started here west Townsend SVT 1000’ expecting 18” here.
  17. How many times have we seen storms lost in the mid range only to be found again? If anything the amount of run to run change shows just about anything is possible. I would wait a bit before throwing up the victory flag for no snow. It would be impressive bad luck to make it to the end of this month with cold around and no snow
  18. DC is way west of NYC, while it’s rare there are instances in this type of setup where they thump and nyc and Boston go right to rain. We are just so much closer to the ocean then DC. East wind is not your friend
  19. Right along the coast it could be -10 right now and it wouldn’t matter. Water temps are in the mid to upper 40s. The wind direction is all wrong for CAD. Even Boston goes right to rain
  20. Exactly. And first and foremost Walt is an incredible resource for the board after having lost many great posters over the years. KFOK 2 degrees and it will be raining in a few hours
  21. If it turns out it was a high S02 event, absolutely. Even into next winter. Peak cooling usually last about a year after the event. It’s just unfortunate Anthony thought we would see instant cooling.
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