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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. It’s absolutely mind boggling. I would have bet the farm this year would be hyperactive. This could be the climate change issue that keeps storm numbers low in the Atlantic .
  2. Complete joke, I can promise you it was at least in the low 90s on the uws. My truck thermometer which is pretty damn accurate was 94/95 this afternoon. Still 92 heading home from work now. Drying out again, had to stay late to water
  3. That would be a life saver. I was forced to do a huge landscape installation on campus in an are without irrigation this week. Despite working at an institution with some of the smartest people in the world. We should see offshore water temps going for records this month based on the predicted pattern. That will have a feed back to support more convection
  4. It was only a matter of time. Hopefully the drought areas see something beforehand d
  5. Yes you are getting more insulation into the water. But wind speeds also play a role through upwelling. While a blockbuster year is seeming more unlikely, once the SAL starts to fade, there will be plenty of warm water to take advantage of.
  6. .13” at the wantagh meso. The south shore loves to drought in the summer. Even mature trees are starting to drop leaves. If we do not get anything soon trees will start to die. Which happened in 1998? The year with the sunrise fires. A beautiful grove of 100’+ tulip trees died in a preserve near wantagh high school. They could be seen for miles around as they were the tallest trees on the south shore by far.
  7. Actually the heaviest rain missed the areas that have had most of the rain and hit areas that haven’t. So overall a needed event.
  8. Drastically cut numbers because of quite July! What kind of numbers are you talking here? I could see 2/1/1 or something like that. Far from drastic
  9. That’s actually allowing for more insulation absorption. It will be fun to look back at these season cancel posts in 2 months
  10. We just had a great storm on the uws. Some of the heaviest rain rates and flash flooding since ida. Definitely a helper for the recent dry conditions. Meanwhile at home on the south shore, the typical Sumer flash drought continues
  11. Much stronger onshore flow tomorrow, so agree at least
  12. It’s the same story every summer. It’s just how our geography effects the weather. they may drift south and fizzle as the day progresses giving the south shore 7 drops
  13. Got blitzed on the uws. Some of the heaviest rates I have ever seen, pure white out looking up town
  14. Another decade or two and you will have your wish
  15. I had a black tip (3-5’) on the line from a kayak right off Jones beach Sunday. I got it close enough to see the approximate size and species before he snapped the line. He took me for a nice ride before hand
  16. Zero rain yesterday on the south shore. So the drought continues and intensifies. meanhile here on the uws the drought has ended at least temporarily.
  17. Warm fronts are great for the coast. Hopefully this breaks the drought
  18. Not a drop on the south shore. You know the deal having grown up in Long Beach. We call these secret days at Jones beach. It’s been sunny all day
  19. Had a much more mundane version of the Suffolk storm at my dads in wantagh. Brief wind gusts around 30mph and very small hail. meanwhile at my apartment in Lynbrook not a drop. Pretty cool watching the storms for on the Seabreeze front. Very Florida like.
  20. Dry, makes dry. Looking up at the sky in Manhattan currently it’s almost like the atmosphere screams storms but the reality is there isn’t enough surface moisture. I expect more fails until we can change the flow and get those high dews we now expect this time of year back
  21. Just like canceling winter in December. Look how that worked out in 14/15 in the north east.
  22. He’s actually correct for the Jersey shore assuming the flow was a little more SW. But you are correct for the island, strong south flow (Ambrose jet) events pile up the warm surface water. Nothing better then a late day body surf sesh in 6 foot wind chop with bathtub warm water!
  23. I have a feeling this one hits a wall as it closes in on the city. Dry local soil conditions and a strong onshore flow tomorrow.
  24. The reoccurrence of majors in the north east of about 1/100 years is a big part of why truly big, old trees are so rare. The old growth groves that survived logging are generally in sheltered steep gorges. 100mph gusts and hardwoods just don’t mix. The fire island hollys are definitely still there, behind huge dune systems that can make it through a major. a great old growth tree that does well in high winds is the black gum. You might not be a familiar with them in Maine
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