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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Warm fronts are great for the coast. Hopefully this breaks the drought
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Not a drop on the south shore. You know the deal having grown up in Long Beach. We call these secret days at Jones beach. It’s been sunny all day
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Had a much more mundane version of the Suffolk storm at my dads in wantagh. Brief wind gusts around 30mph and very small hail. meanwhile at my apartment in Lynbrook not a drop. Pretty cool watching the storms for on the Seabreeze front. Very Florida like.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Dry, makes dry. Looking up at the sky in Manhattan currently it’s almost like the atmosphere screams storms but the reality is there isn’t enough surface moisture. I expect more fails until we can change the flow and get those high dews we now expect this time of year back
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just like canceling winter in December. Look how that worked out in 14/15 in the north east.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    He’s actually correct for the Jersey shore assuming the flow was a little more SW. But you are correct for the island, strong south flow (Ambrose jet) events pile up the warm surface water. Nothing better then a late day body surf sesh in 6 foot wind chop with bathtub warm water!
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have a feeling this one hits a wall as it closes in on the city. Dry local soil conditions and a strong onshore flow tomorrow.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The reoccurrence of majors in the north east of about 1/100 years is a big part of why truly big, old trees are so rare. The old growth groves that survived logging are generally in sheltered steep gorges. 100mph gusts and hardwoods just don’t mix. The fire island hollys are definitely still there, behind huge dune systems that can make it through a major. a great old growth tree that does well in high winds is the black gum. You might not be a familiar with them in Maine
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I believe it was stated 1/3 of white pines in New Hampshire.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Jersey shore has done very well rain wise lately. And going back further, seems to be a new severe weather hot spot
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They really haven’t buried any. It’s up to several million a mile. We had massive week+ long outages after Sandy with gusts in the 80s. Gusts over 100 will completely destroy the grid. Take Isaias for example. Use the same track and increase the intensity to cat 4 instead of 1 before land impact in the Carolina’s. That would produce a large swath of cat 3 wind gusts on the east side.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That would take us to full on drought territory until we start looking to the tropics later in the summer. With the pattern extremes we have seen recently it was only a matter of time before we see a real summer drought.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The core of a true major coming up through long island and into New England is nothing short of a national emergency. And there are multiple historical precedents. 120+mph gusts will obliterate the power grid. Puerto rlco post Maria type, months long power outages for millions of people.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    At this point it’s looking like the the majority of the metro gets through this with .00”. So yes thats a bust. During the time of year with the highest insulation, if we do not start seeing rain soon then we will be headed into a drought.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s been storm after storm running just offshore of the south shore heading east. And they even intensify over the ocean. Pretty much the opposite of what you usually see. Meanwhile we can buy rain from western Long Island west
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Sprinkles, but some nice strikes out over the ocean at Jones beach
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s still early. As we speak there is a training storm on the north shore of Suffolk that’s definitely producing flooding
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The south shore can get very hot on the right wind direction, but you know this having grown up there. I swear the hottest I have ever felt is at the beach with a strong Nw flow. The sand radiating has I cause near surface temps to exceed 110
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Starting to get pretty dry on the uws, we missed out on the good rains the other day only recording .30” at the meso.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Definitely, though this trough has come with lower fees which allows highs to soar when we have full sun and anything but onshore flow.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s been dry so that helps the park with less transpiration from the vegetation. Just another point of proof that the numbers are off being in a virtual forest.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    About damn time, we kept missing out. The shower tonight actually contained some very heavy Bursts much heavier then would appear on radar
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Starting to get very dry on the uws as we have missed the last few rain events to the west and to the east. I almost find it amazing that given the trough it has been so dry.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Excessive precip and tropical systems are definitely on the horizon. We are loosing that cool water buffer more and more. Those strong SW flow heat events actually do more to upwell cool water. It’s the constant onshore flow that allows out coastal water temps to soar.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That 86 for the park is ridiculous. It’s easily low 90s on the uws
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