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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Is it even conceivable the NAM can out forecast a blend of superior models and ensembles at this juncture ?
  2. frd
    Interesting, and of course never easy. But, happy to be getting snow and cool to watch the evolution of the storm. Watch that third piece.
  3. frd
    As mentioned above with that depiction maybe the Euro will trend wetter during the next 12 to 24 hours for Southern sections, even a bit has significant implications.
  4. frd
    40- ish, I don't buy the temps on the GFS. Your area struggles, but would think temps come crashing down, " hopefully ".
  5. frd
    I stand corrected, I like this better at hour 90
  6. frd
    Moisture trend ^
  7. frd
    This looks acceptable
  8. frd
    Para may be going South a tad
  9. frd
    Another shift South , more focus Northern Delaware area
  10. frd
    Not sure if posted
  11. frd
    Been targeting that general area for the last 36 hours, sometimes DC, sometimes Northern Delaware. ICON ticked South , maybe a trend, still way too complicated.
  12. frd
    Good thump then a transition in areas further South
  13. frd
    Interesting observation by Jack, the trend further NW may continue today . For us in the low lands and further South that would be bad news. I can imagine that if the front thump does not deliver this may end up being yet another disappointing event. We still have a ways to go.
  14. frd
    SREF
  15. frd
    This time frame does have pretty good potential to deliver .
  16. frd
    Very true. Arguments were made for suppression and others for going North. For my hood not liking the trends. But I realize it is a very complex situation. Mount Holly gives a range from 4 inches to 12 in the WS Watch overview. I always felt the best snows would go North, simply due to storm evolution, not just climo.
  17. frd
    We are closer to the event , wondering if these higher totals carry any weight, sampling should be better as mentioned earlier.
  18. frd
    OMG
  19. frd
    Check this out
  20. frd
    ECM max res
  21. frd
    At it again next Saturday with trailing wave.
  22. frd
    Impressive
  23. frd
    Pretty wide expanse in the snowfall
  24. frd
    For the NE part of the forum
  25. frd
    I hope its the Norovirus because I am liking the puke fest ! But honestly, that RGEM SW - NE deform axis is consistent as @MillvilleWx just stated.
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