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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    If you don't succeed try, try again. Sooner or later we hopefully score.
  2. frd
    Lots of Highs to the North, that's a new thing ! And, a train of disturbances getting ready to move East .
  3. frd
    Structure really opening it up late in the period. Not a tight vortex at all. Just looking at this animation of the vortex I would assume a - NAM state possible. Speculation of course. Supports the 35 day GEFS above though.
  4. frd
    Yes, simply keep it weak. Going forward it will be interesting to see if in later Feb and March the effects of changing wavelengths combined with lingering arctic air masses and whether they mix it up along the East coast.
  5. frd
    We do have snow cover to help with the eventual cold.
  6. frd
    35 days out and the PV never gets back to the ERA5 mean.
  7. frd
    Exactly.
  8. frd
    - WPO related
  9. frd
    Snow on snow would be nice. Would it be safe to assume each wave effects areas a little further South as baroclinic zone shifts south . But can't get away from thinking second or third event had major surprises because of poor modeling of upstream blocking. Just speculation.
  10. frd
    Hard to filter out the noise. Thanks MJO not the demon.
  11. frd
    Interesting @RaleighWx · 23h Well the pacific has been unfavorable all year. If it moves into or ends up in phase 7 in February it is much colder looking with -glaam. MJO not everything, but so far the met winter has been mild for most last image
  12. frd
    Still pretty
  13. frd
    Nino
  14. frd
    ECM EPS MAX RES Believe this is an improvement
  15. frd
    All I can saw is widespread , so that is a plus, actual amounts don't mean as much as the signal.
  16. frd
    The psu blizzard incoming. I like the end of Jan and early Feb.
  17. frd
    Temps.
  18. frd
    This might work. Round three.
  19. frd
    Wasn't the last trend for the ICON to drop the SW further South on it's way East . This could trend South easily, but is the ICON really worth discussing.
  20. frd
    I am sure the ICON can model the block and the TPVs correctly. Good luck to any model this far out. Anxious to see the EPS later.
  21. frd
    Arctic air into the Canada Prairies, finally.
  22. frd
    The GOES-5 which went only to 240 hours had the same general movement into Northern Canada at that time stamp and then going to the GFS continues that motion further into Northern Canada.
  23. frd
    I am seriously ready for some fuccking snow !
  24. frd
    @psuhoffman there is indeed some support showing that we may not totally go absent blocking in February.
  25. frd
    Latest update, more consolidation to keep the AO negative longer.
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