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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. Seems to be + PNA pulse around this time, which may enter into the final outcomes and encourage the system to be more of a coastal impact for our area.
  2. SWEET ! IF this doesn't produce a SECS I am going off the grid.
  3. Exceptionally good look considering 276 hours out. All aboard !
  4. It is working compared to the crap three weeks ago. Imagine the chill deepen a bit as well over Southern Canada moving forward. .
  5. If you don't succeed try, try again. Sooner or later we hopefully score.
  6. Lots of Highs to the North, that's a new thing ! And, a train of disturbances getting ready to move East .
  7. Structure really opening it up late in the period. Not a tight vortex at all. Just looking at this animation of the vortex I would assume a - NAM state possible. Speculation of course. Supports the 35 day GEFS above though.
  8. Yes, simply keep it weak. Going forward it will be interesting to see if in later Feb and March the effects of changing wavelengths combined with lingering arctic air masses and whether they mix it up along the East coast.
  9. We do have snow cover to help with the eventual cold.
  10. 35 days out and the PV never gets back to the ERA5 mean.
  11. Snow on snow would be nice. Would it be safe to assume each wave effects areas a little further South as baroclinic zone shifts south . But can't get away from thinking second or third event had major surprises because of poor modeling of upstream blocking. Just speculation.
  12. Hard to filter out the noise. Thanks MJO not the demon.
  13. Interesting @RaleighWx · 23h Well the pacific has been unfavorable all year. If it moves into or ends up in phase 7 in February it is much colder looking with -glaam. MJO not everything, but so far the met winter has been mild for most last image
  14. ECM EPS MAX RES Believe this is an improvement
  15. All I can saw is widespread , so that is a plus, actual amounts don't mean as much as the signal.
  16. The psu blizzard incoming. I like the end of Jan and early Feb.
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