frd

Amazing how some folks were convinced a drought may be near, including myself. Yet, in a period of a few days extensive, needed rainfall fell in many areas . Also, later in the week looks wet as well. Interesting to note, despite the clouds and temps recently surf zone temps continue to increase. Of course it is still chilly, but moving towards acceptable in a few weeks, fingers crossed.

you were correct about needing a fire, it is really cold out there.

Wow, that line really intensified on the extreme Eastern Shore and moved through here with driving rain and tons of lightening

Rain totals may need to be increased if current trends continue for Friday through Saturday morning. Nice update by Mount Holly. A low pressure system will finally bring the area some much needed rainfall for Friday into Friday night as it tracks eastward from Indiana towards Virginia and then off the coast. The system has trended a bit slower so it should be dry to start the day Friday but with clouds thickening up and rain arriving around the midday / early afternoon timeframe from west to east. The heaviest rain looks to fall late day Friday into Friday night as there will be good isentropic lift, fairly strong F-Gen forcing through the mid levels and right jet entrance dynamics at play in the upper levels. Also, fairly high PWATs around 1.25 to 1.5+ inches will be advecting north. The upshot of all this is that rain amounts look to be trending upward a bit. Generally expect most areas to get around an inch of rain for Friday through Friday night with some areas potentially seeing upwards of around an inch and a half or so. However given the stratiform nature of the rain along with the recent dry weather this should not be enough to cause any hydro issues. Friday will be cool with the rain moving in and generally expect highs in the 60s to low 70s. The cool temps and the rain will also be accompanied by brisk E/NE winds.

Wow, got lucky here. Raining and its been steady for an hour, the rain area has been moving from the NW to the SE in a somewhat narrow band. I will tak it !

Normally the wet returns with a vengeance. However, not so sure this time. Pondering whether this may be the driest period of thesSpring and summer, or does feedback start along with neutral Pac conditions and we stay dry. And from there go very hot. . Really dry out here. Grass is done , brown areas since three days ago, and every day the dryness becomes more evident. Bottom line is I hated the excessive rainfall that ruined my garden the last 3 summers but a drought is also a pain, every day you have to water, that grows old fast, especially since it is only the middle of May. And, this wind today only makes it feel even drier.

Dumb model, just like temps and snow. useless really.

Really dry here, at least there is some morning dew. But, soil moisture dropping fast, Lawns already starting to brown out. Rather early for that , even with this warmer climate.

Evolution of rainfall oppurtunities are a bit concerning. Less and less in new modeling. Meanwhile, really interested to see how the lack of storms along with warming air mass combined with day after day of high sun angle effects surf zone temps and how quickly they jump up. CURRENT SURF REPORT FOR WILDWOOD 07:43:56 2-3ft 4MPH LIGHT, CROSS/OFFSHORE Primary Swell 2.5ft at 8s Sunny Air 60°f Sea 57 °f

Imagine the Western Atlantic off the East Coast should warm dramitically the next 1 to 3 weeks . I am ready , ha ha past ready , to go to the beach and do some body boarding , getting some Sam's pizza in in North Wildwood and of course, icecream from the famous fudgy wudge man

Yep, a whole sale change is evident now as dry reinforces early heat potential. Grass already stressing but I am not going to weater, too early and a losing battle for me. With your set up, and I recall with your nice patio set up in the back, is different than mine. all i can hope is for rain every three weeks to keep the grass crowns alive beneath the surface for late August or early Sept green up. ( hopefully )

Heat is on the way.

A little rain would be nice after this long period of dry combined with winds. I imagine beach surf zone temps start to nudge up next week. A chilly start compared to previous Springs. However, the Atlantic is above average to our far SE and East.

Doing watering and planting in the early AM hours is heavenly. I love it and my greyhound Bronson loves it too !!!

Seems like a change is in the wind.

Snow in Western PA. Vortmax is moving East in a hurry. Sunny here for the moment and beatiful.

This rain in Delaware is like snow virga, what's the deal. Ugh

Here I am still amazed by the record 26 mile tornado on the ground that traveled through Delaware last summer. The tree damage was extensive and in certain areas extreme.

We are due for a derecho A derecho is a complex of intense thunderstorms that unleashes damaging winds over an area extending hundreds of miles. This extreme weather event is sometimes called an "inland hurricane" due to the hurricane-force wind gusts and the way that it appears on radar. “We are still very nervous about the possibility of derechos developing based on the pattern that we’re forecasting" beginning in early June, Pastelok said. On Aug. 10, 2020, a particularly strong derecho blasted across Iowa with winds greater than 100 mph. The storms leveled entire fields of crops and caused billions of dollars in damages.

Late summer heat to build in Northeast after stormy start The stifling heat of summer may not take hold right away from the Interstate 95 corridor to the shores of the Great Lakes, but that doesn’t mean that air conditioners will be able to take it easy this year. The first part of the summer will feature frequent thunderstorms across the Northeast, Ohio Valley and Midwest, limiting the potential for long-duration heat waves with temperatures averaging right around normal. AccuWeather’s long-range forecasters believe that several rounds of stronger storms could sweep across the region, particularly in June and July, in addition to garden variety summer storms that pop up on warm and humid afternoons.

Hottest weather later this year , interesting.

Another bust , two in a row. no rain at all. Good for you , at least you got some.

Thinking another bust rainfall forecast coming up? Amounts coming down , and radar looks pathetic. Talk of excessive rains have slowly evolved to .25 inches , if we are lucky. I don't need or want a flood but some rain for the flowers would be nice.

Maybe will get some rain, meanwhile, a special marine warning for the upper Bay has been issued. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1001 PM EDT Mon May 3 2021 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD... Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD... * Until 1130 PM EDT. * At 1000 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 15 nm northwest of Havre De Grace to 13 nm west of Middle River, moving east at 25 knots. HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Boaters in small craft could be thrown overboard by suddenly higher winds and waves capsizing their vessel. * Locations impacted include... Northeast River, Turkey Point, Pooles Island, Spesutie Island, Gunpowder River and Aberdeen Proving Ground.

Yeah, dissapointing so far. Is it going to be a busted forecast around my parts? Mount Holly says 80 % chance of rain .5 to .75 inches. Thats more than showers. Radar looks like a bust coming up, but we will see. . Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 1am and 2am. Patchy fog after 4am. Low around 64. South wind around 5 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.