frd

Damn good !

Actually I feel based on the HL blocking and the pattern it supports the map. Do I expect it to verify, probably not. Do I expect a snowstorm in the coming pattern, yes I do. Can we get snow on snow, I think so. I mean really if you can't get a snowstorm with the look on top, arctic air mass, boundary, baroclinic zone, multiple disturbances then forget this hobby.

OMG

Coastal action

Seems the pattern ahead will hopefully have less risks and more certainty regarding overall snowfall distribution .

Positive changes on the PV for us down the road.

Winter storm warning downgraded to an advisory here. How much do you have so far ?

If even remotely correctly fun times are ahead. Keep in mind, this snowfall extends out beyond the 7 day just a bit. Attempting to see where the baroclinic, arctic air mass jackpot zone may be, we certainly appear to be in the game.

Only posted to show potential . This is hours under 214 Here the GFS sees the colder air mass and reacts, and of course, a favorable storm track as well.

I am beginning to feel a bit overwhelmed at all the storms and tracking coming up.

@WinterWxLuvr I believe this is a new threat . Beyond this time period, might be a miller A in the works.

I really don't think dry would be an issue, there seems to be a steady supply of disturbances. I am search for an all snow event , eventually with the deep arctic cold and snow cover to our North, and even colder air in the long range, if we don't get an all snow event, we never will.

This is the coldest version yet again. Colder by mean and colder by extent as well. Been many a years since I have witnessed this. I feel this raises the bar on colder storms in our area eventually. Also the NPO index continues to go towards a negative 3 SD near Feb 11 th. Looking for artic cold to maximize in our area after the 15 th. Also when seeing the progression of the GFS eddy heat flux it appears there could be increased odds of a mid Atlantic Snowstorm in the 15 th to the 18 th.

Unless the heavier banding gets here this will be below the forecast of 3 to 6 . Currently about 1.25 inches. Happy for you !

The heaver bands are flexing and waning , seems you are under one of the larger ones. Here the early AM band has moved on, hopefully watching to my SW for another. There were 4 heavier bands at first , now it seems we are going towards 2 bands, one near psu land and the the lower Eastern Shore moving towards Dover. The one nearing Baltimore has weakened.

This is just crazy. First the almost - 6 SD dive in a few days, and even more intriguing is the recent reversal - from the AO going positive in a couple weeks, instead possibly going back down the third week of February. Continued blocking and colder scenarios in a back drop of expanding snow North America cover.

Wow, get some snow cover next week and may be able to keep a while, it if things time up correctly. Wonder the expanding cryosphere effect on future model runs .

Thanks for pointing that out, but EPS did look better. Hoping the colder snowier version wins out, it will be tough, but in the realm of possibilities.

Wow, had no idea it was that high out there in psu land. Snowing pretty good here in Middletown, much better rates than the last storm. Very pretty out there.

As you are aware, trends might be suggesting colder and more snow, versus ice. Here is another way to look at it in this animation. Focus on our area, not so much Virginia and NC in the time loop. Also, many disturbances in the flow as well.

What a progression. Tasty!

Some of this falls here.

I would truly think, and hope, that based on the pattern at some point during the next 15 days we will have an all snow event with high ratio snowfall.