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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Here we have the GFS animation frames
  2. frd
    Here we have the updated 35 day 10 hPa 60 N GEFS, notice after this brief reversal, we approach and even exceed the ERA5 mean moving forward near the middle of the month. Looking at the PV on animation moving forward it seems to get itself better organized late in the period. Not sure if this is this is correct because the GOES-5 does not go past 240 hours with the animation, while the GFS goes to 384 hours.
  3. frd
    Very interesting. As others have mentioned we may indeed see a repeating / recycling of the - NAO in Feb and possibly into March as well. Of course 09-10 had a Nino versus this year's Nina. So far that may be the reason for less snowfall in our region versus locations much further NE. Here in the Mid Atlantic do great with a STJ/ overrunning from Ninos into 1040 High placed to our North. You know the deal. Tougher in a Nina. more play with the Northern jet/ spacing issues, etc.
  4. frd
    I knew someone would mention that. I wouldn't worry based on other modeling at this point.
  5. frd
    Crazy difference here . Remember the goofy control, which I personally hate, showing feet of snow. We need to get through the initial cold and other issues first. I am still bitter about the bust from this last storm. I will not be suckered in by means, ensembles, CIPS, etc. , unless the snow is uncomplicated.
  6. frd
  7. frd
    Just a bit of a change
  8. frd
    A bit outdated but still worth viewing Coldest map release in over a decade !!!!!!
  9. frd
    Check this out - 4 Wow !!
  10. frd
    Thought I heard they degraded
  11. frd
    The look beyond this period is nuts ! The players modeled normally proceed big dog events. I still like 2/10 to 2/17 and even beyond
  12. frd
    Cold Air Outbreak
  13. frd
    Brrr
  14. frd
    Coldest version yet Notice the cold settling South and directed ESE and almost a - 4 SD cold near Northern Montana.
  15. frd
    Couple issues with timing and suppression. Similar concerns from before. Now watch the cold come and we go dry. Not sure I buy the UKMET snowfall.
  16. frd
    What in the world made accu weather jump the gun forecasting , even though two options were presented, that a huge snowstorm would hit the East Coast ? It never was even close .
  17. frd
    EPS hour 120 and then 126. If there is going to be a storm to effect us, it looks to be a fast mover with the arctic air mass on its heels.
  18. frd
  19. frd
    Accu Weather with this these 2 possible outcomes
  20. frd
    GEFS A hair North compared to 12z
  21. frd
    1059 mb @webberweather 1058-1059mb is the MSLP record to beat for Feb in SW Canada and the northern Rockies. 12z Euro is breaking that at day 9. 2:08 PM · Feb 2, 2021·Twitter for iPhone
  22. frd
    OMG, If your posting here it's getting real !
  23. frd
    You had to go there, didn't you.
  24. frd
    I like 2/10 to 2/18
  25. frd
    Did you see the almost 1060 High pressure system above Montana at 240 hours in the Euro HI - Res ?
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