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@CAPE

This storm was well predicted by using this tool https://fh004579.webs.act.reading.ac.uk/gfs_hf/vstar_tstar_100.html Ventrice even alluded to it in a recent post. Also the evolution up top supports the development of a extreme MECS. The baroclinic zone supports intense low pressure residing at a lower latitude. Deep Eastern NA trough I feel this storm system will be more powerful colder and wetter than tis event today and tomorrow

Totals, but if you are in the Southern region keep in that mind.

If memory serves me correctly, not as good as the last Euro run for Southern areas.

Hour 18 ECM

Very light snow here, for the past 2.5 hours, but no accumulation so far.

@CAPE maybe Euro will hold firm . The HRRR shifting South compared to earlier runs.

Growing snow cover extent

Maybe - 5 SD Next big event lining up And, the NAO maybe huge reversal here from yesterday. DIVE DIVE

Natural gas futures

Ok, I will wait a bit. It has been rather insistent, so I am hopeful.

Just starting here. Very little at the moment. Northern Delaware should start filling in shortly.

Lets hope for the best. I can attest down here folks are crazy, shelves emptying out , ridiculous if you ask me. Look forward to an update from you tomorrow, if possible, thanks for your great posts !

I will toss it Getting ready for the snow to arrive here shortly . Cloud deck lowering

Interesting location ( bottom image ) , not sure about that, but we will see.

EPO region coldest yet this winter, aiming for the East Coast in early to mid February .

Near the 10 th

DAMN..... direct discharge , keep the 7 th to the 12 th open for more snow here .

As mentioned yesterday, waiting for the Euro to flip to the GEFS side, well , it did !

The winds inland will be strong, added to the heavier snow periods and it will look awesome outside ! Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm- 336 PM EST Sat Jan 30 2021 STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Northeast winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and seas 13 to 18 ft expected. * WHERE...Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm, Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm and Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm. * WHEN...From 3 PM Sunday to 10 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

The long duration is very interesting as well. Here is a small section about what DT was talking about from his update 1 hour ago. < I continue to be very concerned about heavy snow greater than a foot in the Washington DC and Baltimore Metro areas. The high resolution n short-range and very good Canadian model known as the RGEM as well as other models continue to show 12 to to as much as 30 inches of snow in South Central AND Southeastern Pennsylvania as well as much of New Jersey AND into North Central Maryland very close to Washington and Baltimore. It is quite possible that Hagerstown and Frederick as well as Columbia Sykesville and housing could end up with 8 inches or more of snow when compared to Baltimore or Washington DC. With that much snow … being that close to these important Metro areas I am very nervous about any forecasts which has snow amounts under 10 in. It would not take much of an adjustment to drop 18 or 24 inches of snow area into these Metro regions as well as Martinsburg Leesburg and Winchester. More later >