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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Typical disclaimers apply
  2. frd
    Yes, but before that, even if true, are several opportunities for us to get some snow.
  3. frd
  4. frd
    Re load the pattern
  5. frd
    The coolest image yet at hour 384
  6. frd
    @psuhoffman the positives keep getting eliminated.. I am speculating whether we have hit the lowest point of the - AO cycle this winter. Maybe in a few days we achieve the lowest - SD.
  7. frd
    Close to another mean wind reversal on Feb 1 st.
  8. frd
    Close to a complete split near the 5 th
  9. frd
    Seems to be + PNA pulse around this time, which may enter into the final outcomes and encourage the system to be more of a coastal impact for our area.
  10. frd
    Is this a test ?
  11. frd
    48 inches ?
  12. frd
    SWEET ! IF this doesn't produce a SECS I am going off the grid.
  13. frd
    Exceptionally good look considering 276 hours out. All aboard !
  14. frd
    It is working compared to the crap three weeks ago. Imagine the chill deepen a bit as well over Southern Canada moving forward. .
  15. frd
    Ah, a useful hack. Thanks ! It worked !
  16. frd
    Bummer need a subscription
  17. frd
    If you don't succeed try, try again. Sooner or later we hopefully score.
  18. frd
    Lots of Highs to the North, that's a new thing ! And, a train of disturbances getting ready to move East .
  19. frd
    Structure really opening it up late in the period. Not a tight vortex at all. Just looking at this animation of the vortex I would assume a - NAM state possible. Speculation of course. Supports the 35 day GEFS above though.
  20. frd
    Yes, simply keep it weak. Going forward it will be interesting to see if in later Feb and March the effects of changing wavelengths combined with lingering arctic air masses and whether they mix it up along the East coast.
  21. frd
    We do have snow cover to help with the eventual cold.
  22. frd
    35 days out and the PV never gets back to the ERA5 mean.
  23. frd
    Exactly.
  24. frd
    - WPO related
  25. frd
    Snow on snow would be nice. Would it be safe to assume each wave effects areas a little further South as baroclinic zone shifts south . But can't get away from thinking second or third event had major surprises because of poor modeling of upstream blocking. Just speculation.
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