Jump to content

WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,552

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    I know what freaking NYC always is…what about the less lunatic subforums?
  2. WxUSAF
    Been busy today. Are we in winter cancel or winter uncancel today?
  3. WxUSAF
    Catoctins have had a couple dustings at this point.
  4. WxUSAF
    T: 12/7/2023 Just won’t stop snowing this winter!
  5. WxUSAF
    Light dusting in Harford county per pictures from my sister. I’d guess an area from @mappy over through Cecil county could get something measurable here.
  6. WxUSAF
    Based on my calculations, winters where snow has fallen 3 times by December 7 average 63.8” of snow at BWI*. *may not be real statistics
  7. WxUSAF
    Flurries in Columbia! #snowtown
  8. WxUSAF
    You and @psuhoffmanneed to actually measure your snow this time and not be too snobby for accumulations under 6” or whatever
  9. WxUSAF
    Euro still has some snow for N/W areas although less than 12z yesterday. GFS and GGEM only for mountains and areas in PA/NY.
  10. WxUSAF
    Only people on this board will know how good a beer is going to taste sometime in the weeks ahead while we watch some sexy happy hour GFS run clobber us at short lead times. Gah I can’t wait…
  11. WxUSAF
    And we’re seeing those differences already. Juicy STJ and we’ve already seen models correct to more +PNA as we get closer in time. This isn’t last year folks.
  12. WxUSAF
    Canada torches are supposed to happen in Ninos. If/when we get some drool worthy KU type scenario in January or February, Canada will be mostly AN.
  13. WxUSAF
    I remember just staring at my PWS thermometer all damn evening before the storm just willing it colder. Started in the upper 50s and I Think it finally got into the upper 30s by like 10-11pm when I went to bed.
  14. WxUSAF
    Definitely started as rain for me for a few hours. I vividly remember waking up during the night and hearing pouring rain on the roof and then the noise went away and I knew it had switched to snow. Had a cold powder event a few days later. Agree with @Ji that January 2022 was a solid winter month.
  15. WxUSAF
    T: 12/6/2023
  16. WxUSAF
    No, they’re not really. But the one thing that is common to our rain—>snow scenarios is a more Sw-NE oriented front vs very S-N orientation. Euro is getting that tilt more and hence the changeover.
  17. WxUSAF
    Was like 6” at my house and I believe had some 10-12” reports S and E of DC. Had a strong gradient with the N and W folks getting actually fringed for once.
  18. WxUSAF
    It definitely does happen? A lot of our storms start as rain. The early January 2022 event was deluge rain for 3-4 hours (temps were in the 50s and 60s day before?) and then switched to snow. It takes a certain set of conditions, but it can happen.
  19. WxUSAF
    Euro ends the weekend rain storm as accumulating snow for N/W crew again.
  20. WxUSAF
    I think we’re already seeing some “anti-cankicking” though. Next week has a notable +PNA now and GEFS and EPS have way reduced the amount of time with AN heights for our area.
  21. WxUSAF
    Snow twice in the last week! #snowtown
  22. WxUSAF
    Late next week is worth keeping an eye on, even if just because it’s all we have besides D15+ pattern watch. 12z and 18z gfs close. Ensembles don’t look enthused, but longwave pattern has been shifting more favorable for that time.
  23. WxUSAF
    If you look at recent mod to super Ninos that didn’t give us a MECS or better, it’s mostly not because storms of that magnitude didn’t occur, it’s that they gave us rain or mixed precip. If you look at H5 and surface evolutions of 2-3 storms in 97-98, you’d get weak in the knees. Except it was 40F at the surface out past Hagerstown.
  24. WxUSAF
    Don’t know about that, but odds of KU storms are certainly higher than normal this winter, particularly mid Jan-mid Feb.
  25. WxUSAF
    Our hearts
×
×
  • Create New...