WxUSAF

I thought that was last winter? I think the GEFS has been upgraded. @high risk?

A trillion times is probably a few hundred billion too many, but GFS and GGEM both show wavebreaking on the Atlantic side that improves the NAO domain and brings some man highs toward us Xmas weekend. With the active storm track, there’s at least some intrigue if timing works out. So yeah, could be worse. Temps still don’t look like a blowtorch for our little corner of the world. Is the whole CONUS well AN? Totally. Will we have a AN December? Very likely, but still nowhere near 2015 for us.

Good to know Apple exclusively uses the Icon for its app!

Yes

Compare the similar time on the last 4 GEFS runs. All the major features are the same, but subtle placement differences can vary my impression of it from: blech to pretty good.

Ava Marie showed a picture from pre-dawn very near BWI that was clearly measurable. I drove to Elkridge near BWI around 8am and it was a trace there and then. So I think if BWI had measured at 4-6am, they would have recorded something.

WBAL Mets are crying foul on Twitter

We cancelled winter before today’s snow

Ok, less dubious about BWI although they probably could have measured something if they went out at 5-6am. Drove to Elkridge for an errand on my way to work and very little snow there only 2-3 miles from my house, although again, probably had melting already. Driving south from Elkridge on the BW Parkway and almost the whole way was about what I had at my house…maybe 0.5-1”.

I’m glaring dubiously at the IAD and BWI measures…

December 11, 2023: 0.7”

Told everyone I thought we’d all get on the board this month

0.7” reported to LWX! Almost doubled winter 22-23 already!

Snow! Haven’t been out to measure, still snowing lightly. I’m shocked to see my temp down to 31.6. Woke up at 245 and it was still rain. 1.32” of rain.

Just in case any crazy person stays up to measure this. If something measurable falls, melts, then more measurable snow falls…you add those measurements together.

46 and falling. 0.82”

It’s all going to be about who can get a thump for 1-2 hours and then be awake to measure the moment it begins to slow down.

The thing is, this allegedly awful pattern is one with a lot of things going for it that we want! Undercutting STJ, Aleutian low, ridging in Canada. Yes, the continent is going to be lacking really arctic air, but some pretty minor tweaks makes the pattern still pretty workable. And only some modest tweaks turn it very good. My wag is that’s why we’re still getting the occasional fantasy range snow event or tease. It still isn’t December 2015. So maybe we wait until around new years, but it still doesn’t look like shit the blinds for the next 3 weeks.

Never a doubt!

Lamar has no touch on the deep throws

Not just this one. We’re preemptively cancelling until 29-30.

That was awful

Ravens look out of sorts