weatherwiz

Holy shit...surge updated to 10-15 feet along the big bend

Best of luck!

I agree, I don't think TPA sees hurricane force gusts as well.

Only thing I like that well-mixed is rum and coke

Considering this storm is likely to continue strengthening right up to landfall the concern for a major at landfall is very high. Should Idalia take off this evening or tonight I could see a higher end cat 3 potential.

Franklin going sick

Wish we lived there

I think they opened another spot too somewhere along the shoreline. They’re finally starting to distribute some of their beers to stores.

Should venture to Five Churches in New Britain. They make some really good beer and add new beers somewhat frequently.

ehhh unfortunately, we can do worse than last winter...not saying we will but we have seen worse.

@WxWatcher007 Are there any products out there which are good to assess with forecasting wind shear? I know they have the shear maps and shear tendency maps on spaghetti models, but what about for forecasting shear?

I'm hoping to be able to string together an outlook or at least some thoughts by the end of September or early October. While I did have some hope that despite a strong Nino, we could see a pretty decent winter, some of that hope is slipping away, but that is just super general thoughts right now. I think it comes down to the Arctic and how much support we can get via blocking but I am slightly leaning towards the direction of very little support in this regard, but maybe we'd had some room earlier in winter. This is very basic and super generic thought though. I am hoping to be able to ramp into things over the next month (so long the tropics stay quiet...or at least we don't see any major US threats).

Isn't the elevation of those areas above the 850mb level (well above 5,000 feet)?

That is really cool!

ughhh damn it...I have a ton of quarters and I'm going next Saturday. I know they used to take quarters back in the day b/c my parents and grandparents would save quarters for the slots.

Accounts from Steve's ancestors?

Are you still able to use quarters at the slots in any of the CT casinos?

As long as you have the proper airmass in place and are achieving maximum or near maximum mixing...who cares if the sun angle is "weakened".

Doesn't include August. The US Regional Maps section still does not work on NRCC

This is really depressing. Tired of these cloudy, cool days. Summer got swept under us like a table cloth

I think the 12z GFS yesterday kissed the high mountains of Montana with some snow (it was around 300 hr out).

yeah looks like front takes its sweet time departing along with a wave or two of low pressure developing along it

Seems like there should be a narrow swath of some decent rainfall totals tomorrow (2-3'').

It's super frustrating It just goes to show how difficult it is to get a favorable pattern here. It's funny when you look back over the years at how many times big MCSs and big squall lines get deflected to our southwest.

Could be a pretty nasty MCS or QLCS that impacts far western NY into west/central PA later tomorrow.