weatherwiz

One other thing to add to the severe too is our geographical spatial coverage is much smaller compared to that of the Plains. Our region encompasses much less land - we're smaller. This has some degree of impact to our the overall extent of our events. I think this has been brought up before. It's also one reason why it is extremely difficult to get a high risk into here (even in the most perfect setup). Majority of high risks tied into derecho-producing events...it is very difficult to get that extent of damage needed to verify b/c we're just smaller compared to the midwest.

I mean it all really depends on a definition one is going to use to quantify "high end". While there really is no agreed upon criteria or criteria specific to a region, what's widely accepted as a high-end significant severe weather event really only needs a handful of significant severe weather reports. IIRC correctly, Ekster and Banacos defined a significant severe weather day in the Northeast as only needing 1 or 2 significant severe weather reports. But what you're saying about yesterday, how it was pretty meh for you, that is the nature of convective events and anywhere in the country. Even out in the Midwest on big severe days or during active periods, there are probably plenty of people who got thunderstorms that were pretty general. We could have a massive setup with an EML which results in widespread severe weather here and some towns get absolutely nothing or maybe just get some rain and thunder. We could have a pretty meh setup two days later and those same towns that got nothing or just some thunder...well maybe they got one of the bigger storms that day and had hail/wind damage.

Should be fairly similar to yesterday I think. So let's just get this out of the way now...No this will not be a significant severe event or high end severe event. There will be widespread thunderstorms with probably one swath of wind damage in a similar fashion to yesterday.

Yeah so nobody should have been expecting high-end severe or a region-wide outbreak.

Well this is true, but to a degree. An EML is important for higher end significant severe. An EML is not needed for severe weather. There seems to be a stigma around these parts on this board that when talking about convection or severe weather potential in New England it means 1) Every town is going to get damage 2) Every poster is going to see a thunderstorm It is all about understanding of the setup and expectations. All in all, yesterday performed exactly as it should have given the setup. There was a concentrated swath of damaging winds and there was a tornado. Yesterday was never about being a higher-end setup or about significant severe. The moderate CAPE and unseasonably strong shear indicated the potential for severe weather was higher than usual within the region, but it was of course below thresholds for significant severe. If anyone was expecting widespread significant severe yesterday then that is on them and their lack of understanding about the setup.

Might be similar timing to today

This was the area I was more thinking of

When my girlfriend and I were just about to pull in she noticed this. This is a few houses down. I didn’t submit to NWS because I can’t be certain this happened today. It’s possible it could have happened Tuesday.

Kind of figured we would see one concentrated swath of wind damage, but was totally off on where. I was thinking maybe northeast MA.

My friend who was chasing in Keene sent me this. I’m eating pizza and typing with one hand do this is a direct copy/paste of what he said instead of a summation “I also followed up with the NWS as I found the path just east of Marlborough. Trees down/ snapped. Relatively narrow path. It either ends at or crosses 101”

No time for that unfortunately

Stopped in Thompsonville tons of lightning

Just had a super close strike and briefly knocked power out at the olaza

I wonder if I have enough time to get to BDL

Just had weak rotation move overhead. Winds rapidly changed direction and got super gusty for a bit

Hoping a new warning will be issued soon

Come to papa!!

Headed directly towards me!

I think I am just going to go to the parking lot up the road. Going into downtown Springfield may be a bad idea, especially if there ends up being flooding.

I asked my friend if he pulled up behind anyone and it wasn't him.

It's almost show time

what's the guys name? Wonder if its my friend

While the parking garage would offer a sick view I'm wondering if maybe that may be a tad southwest from where the worst may go. There is a mini plaza just up the road which has a nice view west (got a sick shelf from there last year) but obviously horizon is limited with trees so might be hard to see any tornadoes or wall clouds.