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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Time for a trip to BK for a Whopper. You're on board....generally a good sign.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    I recall a March 13 storm (no not 1993 lol) I think in 2017 where we had a similar situation and the 12k NAM was the only one that had sleet and mixing very far NW. Majority shrugged it off as being out to lunch. Guess which verified? Yep the 12k. Other mesos had a monster snow hit but the sleet line punched W all the way to near Harrisburg iirc. Not calling for a repeat just saying the mesos arent always right.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Hrrr coming in colder yet again so the trend for tonight continues. Good hit i95 corridor on N and W.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Should be a batch of heavy stuff sliding SW to NE in Southeast PA shortly after 11pm-ish tonight. That will be what we should be watching to hopefully cool the column as you alluded to.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Battle of the mesos for tonight. Hrrr is colder where it matters as is the 12k NAM. However the 3k NAM warms 850s quite a bit more and farther NW than 6z even with a better slp track. The 3k actually was colder thru about 11pm at 850mb vs the 6z run but then goes bonkers warming that layer subsequently. One would think the 3k should be handling thermals better so for now I am going to give it some credence yet raise an eyebrow to the colder solutions.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Decided to just go ahead and make this thread since there was some confusion on where to discuss the event for tonight and early tomorrow morning. Latest Hrrr and mesos have trended even colder yet again. Here is the Hrrr for this event which does not include current snowfall. It is all snow here now. Looks like 3-4" in my area of Bucks Co per this model.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Just wanted to pop in and say good luck to everyone in this subforum. You all have been very welcoming to us Northerners and I am genuinely excited to see y'all cash-in. Hope it exceeds expectations!
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Also yielded an increase in striped bass and monster bluefish at least down my way. Best fishing in years!
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Link?
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Who was qg_omega before the username change? Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe Larry C was omto something and should have stuck with his original thoughts for a warmup. 6z GFS says winter ends and spring begins next week. I say bring it!
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro has solid HP dominating where others have some sort of storm.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    He obviously saw the new trends past 24 hours. His posts on FB especially have been borderline trolling a mild pattern emerging. Glad he's on board finally!
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Just read Larry Cosgrove's newsletter. Paraphrasing, he states the cold pattern beginning tomorrow will be short-lived and transient replaced with near normal temps by early next week. Mentions zero threats for wintry weather on the horizon. He is locked in for a mild pattern evolving in 10 days with cold bottled up over AK with Canada/USA mild as a whole. He says he isnt sure how long the mild pattern lasts but there is no getting around the return to mild as the pattern continues to be MJO driven. Hate to say it but he's been fairly spot-on this season.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    We are two of a kind.....that is my exact 'winter' time frame as well. Anything after VD is usually wet slop and melts relatively quickly. Not like those mid January storms that accumulate on roads to where Penndot is still salting and pushing piles around still for 3-4 days after the storm.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Kind of made a point there for the other side. There used to be a time where it was meteorology and not modelology. Not saying Glenn model mongers.....I don't think he does, BUT there are those pros that 'forget' how to forecast IMHO and solely follow the models. True meteorology is becoming a lost art.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Where's the nbc10 weather truck?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    JB and Cosgrove essentially agree tho LC says all of January a complete washout until the very end of the month.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed. They are a receptive bunch.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    It was irrelevant to the topic.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Who is JB?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Cosgrove sticking hard to his guns saying this upcoming cold snap will be brief and transient in an overall AN temp pattern that is locked in thru late January. Guess he doesn't like looking at the EPS or GEFS? They are completely opposite of what he is suggesting with very cold and stormy pattern taking shape.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Cosgrove updated again today. Says brief cold shot later this week but transient as the progressive/zonal pattern locks in thru the last days of January. He is saying mild East of the Apps thru very late January. Not what I wanted to hear this morning.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    LC going with mean trof in center of nation thru New Year at least with warmth on both coasts. One of the rare times I disagree with him.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Didnt JB throw in the towel just a few days ago?? Sent from my LG-V410 using Tapatalk
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