Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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@Birds~69 rough night with the game and the models. AJ is likely gone in the off season. KP needs to go. After replacing AJ, maybe snag some depth at receiving as well (cant just be davante Smith). Otherwise I dont think they are a horrible squad. Just inept on offense.
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What has even happened in here the past 90 minutes? I was going to say you guys are in mid season form....but, it is in fact mid-season. So I guess everything is right in the world
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hey, I think I see my house GO BIRDS!!!!!! -
Convective feedback error. Jumps the low 300 miles east of Hatteras over a thunderstorm cluster. Thats the NAM we've come to know over the years.
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Oh brother, NAM about to do NAM things.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Gusty snow shower here. 40F -
Cash out!
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Wait, we lost our 384 hr HECS?
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Better, yes. Ideal, nope.
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There just isnt ample wave spacing to allow this to go negative at the longitude we need. Eta: for the former MECS solutions anyway
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Hold up, Im just getting out of bed here. So we are poo pooing the Jan 15 system now, the Cape storm is losing legs, but we are on to a Jan 25 HECS? OK cool, business as usual here. See y'all for 12z suite
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Its the icon.
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Smashed his throwing hand early in the game too. No way he was 100%. Puka didnt do too bad either. They are a balanced squad.
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They are stoked for the Cape storm, not the one on the 15th fwiw
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So 18+ hours of snow including deform banding from a 993mb low and only .5"?
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Something not adding up with those totals unless mixing is an issue.
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Surface maps on tt looked so much better. Didnt expect <1" most. Wth.
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Location dependent. Coast hugger and slow crawl, we all get some deformation banding. Farther N does better.
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Euro ai was pretty nice
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Need to see some semblance of a system on the ensembles means. There is hardly a reflection at all.right now, and thats odd with some of the deterministic guidance showing a decent storm. That in and of itself tells me this storm on the 15th likely won't be a huge deal here. Guess there's time for that to change but we need big changes with the 0z suite imho wrt the ens support. -
That looks delicious! The porter im drinking is avg. Icarus has some really good stuff for sure. Im on beer advocate under maltbeard01 fwiw.
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January 25, 2000. Modeling has improved significantly since then. The odds of a bust of both of those magnitudes today is much lower.
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So still a SECS. No scoffing at this. Isn't high-end MECS but we got time and i will never turn my nose up to SECS....ever.
