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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave?
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Yeahhhh....I have the 1-3' line as i95 essentially. Im close to shifting that farther west. Wow.
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Latest RAP shifted West and has the jackpot right over @The Iceman
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Appears guidance is converging on a solution now somewhere between the CMC and the GFS camps. Euro being the extreme eastern/least snowy outlier and the NAM being the extreme on the opposite side. Pretty much what @Newman and I have been talking about for a couple of days with Central DE to S NJ and shore points being the bullseye and points N and W still a MECS thru SE PA. If Im guessing right now at this hour, 'around a foot' seems a reasonable call imby in Warminster/Ivyland. My folks in Cape May otoh....1-2' easy.
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BOOM! Upgraded to a warning. Second I shut my eyes the alert starts going off. Ha!
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40" at ACY. Might need a casino run.
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3k is settling me down. 50 miles west with the slp. Yeah, enough models for tonight. G'night
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Which is ok farther N into NYC where u are as it gives time to recover, but its a tightrope down here west of i95. Still looks good for a plowable event here for now.
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Looping last 3 runs at 48hrs on the 6z the slp is 100 miles farther east. Thats not an hallucination.
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I saw, but leading to that point clearly is showing how fragile this is and how the euro could be getting a handle on the evolution. Maybe im wrong.
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Rather significant jump east. Misses the capture and tug west to keep it tucked, thus escapes east and grazes the shore. Lol, cant make this stuff up. I dont think this is just windshield wiper stuff either this is a different synoptic entirely.
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6z NAM 12k will also be east and less snow. Avg event this run and back down to earth.
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HRDPS jumped east and will be a scraper.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another weenie gfs run. This doesnt appear to be the end just yet. -
Some nonsense about telleconnections not being right for a big storm
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How dafuq is Hurricane saying this will be a fast mover without major impact? Has the man lost his mojo or will he score the win here??
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Seriously! Old red needs to find a way to nap on Sunday.
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So help me if we get March 2001'd.....I cannot handle this twice in my lifetime.
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RGEM ticked east if we are being honest. Noise?
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I wish this were 6 hours away and not 36....just saying
