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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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So January cancel is uncancelled? Shocker.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I agree with this. Definitely not a clean flush hit, at least not appearing that way right now. Ironically, the gefs mean is colder and snowier with a mean snowfall totals of 5" here in central bucks. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Exactly. It is also important to watch where models track the redeveloping slp. AIGFS is off the VA/NC border. Thats pretty key. Eta: is a function of the nao and the hp strength so yeah, all interconnected here
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I know the pretty red L is up in Lake Ontario, but sure looks like the icon is depicting a slp popping near oc, MD. Alas, enough of this jv model. OK trend tho.
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Not in the same ballpark as the gfs obviously, but the icon came pretty far S vs last run wrt slp located in the midwest/ov fwiw at 102
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Congrats. You're the first to mention the possibility of punting til early February. You must be a real blast at parties.
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24 hrs ago we un-punted late Dec thru mid Jan. Now we re-punted and are shitting the blinds? Cool, normal mid Dec stuff around here
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
The front just went thru here. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Brother, patience isn't even enough. Admittedly, I prematurely extrapolated. We are in dire trouble thru MLK day at best. I will check back after the New Year. Wishing a happy holiday to all you guys and gals. -
@stormtracker needs to have his tech gurus add a vomit emoji
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Ok lets be real....we arent losing the trof in the NW US anytime soon are we?
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Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Models have been hinting pretty good wrt to the Dec 28-Jan 2 period for almost a week already, albeit off and on. But now we're are seeing a growing signal across the ens means as well as an NAO blocking signature emerges from Scandinavia. Hunches dont get us winter storms, but instinct is suggesting this is a legit trackable window. 0z EPS: -
Already have seen this same retrogression of said ridge axis 2 other times in the past couple of weeks. LR ridge in OV ends up verifying out in the Western Plains/Eastern Rockies. Nice to see.
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NW US trof gets some help from the East-based -NAO. As you said, without any sort of a block we would be toast with that PAC look.
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Something has been brewing on all the LR ops between Dec 28-Jan 2 period for a few days now as blocking gets going. Sniffing something out.
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Ride the gradient
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I know your were being sarcastic, but definitely not a shit the blinds pattern. Not an extremely favorable pattern, but definitely workable.
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Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended with an unofficial measurement in Point Pleasant of 7.5". Windy with blowing and drifting snow. Go Birds! -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Still coming down at a good clip in Point Pleasant. Sitting at just over 6" here unofficially. Per radar should be moving out in another couple of hours. Fun overachiever for sure! -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Guess everyone's sleeping or shoveling. Me and my buddies are enjoying the breakfast of champions on the boardwalk -
Saturday night/Sunday 12/13-12/14 Jawn
Ralph Wiggum replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
