Ralph Wiggum

If we weren't in the midst of climate 'adjustment', I bet this would have been top 10 if not top 5.

Do you ever look at the 500mb anomalies on the ensembles at range? I strongly recommend using this as a tactic and not rely on a deterministic surface map over 5 days out.

Its funny to see the pattern breakdown keeps getting can-kicked. Yet, no weenie will ever speak about it...only when we r in a shit the blinds pattern and the switch to a good pattern gets delayed. This is all covered somewhere in the weenie handbook in fine print.

Paging @donsutherland1

Whether or not we get a storm, I still consider this stretch rather historic, not "wasted".

0z GFS is bone cold from start to finish. I think I saw Kdyl hits 34 at one point otherwise below freezing with several 0 to sub 0 frames. Dont care if this cold is "wasted". When was the last time we had a run of cold quite like this?

Well said.

It isnt unpossible

If you go back and read the research on the 2000 storm, it was the wrong piece of energy the models were focusing on. Iirc, a wave dove into the back side of the developing ull pulling the surface low west. Alot like how the "kicker" you guys keep calling it is fying in faster and faster each run.....

Y'all will remember this post when this storm goes Jan 25, 2000 over the next 3 days. K, I'll just see my way out now

That was a Vegas thing 100% since they now do odds on HOF first ballots. He had the best odds to get it. The fix was in.

They totally deserve it

And just like that, a slight tick and we are now at 0 with shore points getting snow.

75% chance skirts part of our subforum s and e, 15% chance entire region missed completely, 10% chance major hit Philly and burbs. Thats the way I see it attm. Need some major changes at 12z and 18z.

12z tomorrow was when things started to trend north last week. Let's see if we can reel this in. Ngl....it is so close to either being a hecs or a mere coastal graze. So close.

GFS held serve. Close call. Cutoff is brutal.

Pivot.you son of a b....

@ravensrule

Interesting. In that case im above avg already so anything else is gravy.

It says 30" when I googled that. What say your sources?

30"

If you ask it the same forecast outlook 20 times, it gives 19 different answers. Seems reliable to me. Just hug the forecast you like best.

The scenario the weathernext model just gave is jan 25, 2000 redux. To a tee.

Google's WeatherNext 2.0 model, which powers current Search and Pixel weather results, indicates a high probability of a major winter storm for Philadelphia this weekend, January 31–February 1, 2026. Forecast Highlights * Timing: Snow is expected to begin late Saturday night, peaking Sunday morning. * Accumulation: Estimates range from 8 to 12 inches, with some scenarios suggesting up to 18 inches if the storm holds its northern track. * Conditions: High-intensity snowfall (1–2 inches per hour) is likely Sunday morning, potentially transitioning to a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain by Sunday afternoon. * Impact: Expect dangerous travel conditions and bitter cold following the storm, with wind chills dropping near or below zero.

If I can squeeze out a 2-4" event, I likely go over our seasonal avg (im just over 30" now iirc kdyl avg is 32ish").