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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. ICON had way more of a dry slot sig than any other guidance imo.
  2. That sprawling HP is sick. The thing we dream of when looking for a major winter storm.
  3. Rgem has better position of the hp. Almost moves east in tandem with the slp following right below. More cold press east of the OV.
  4. Rgem has more separation out west wrt the baja ull and the ns trying to phase in. A little slower to move out too? May be a less amped outcome.
  5. I tried it and it gave me a well-worded laid out 12 hr forecast following the 84hr map of the 12z nam. Basically said it was redeveloping off the coast and on its way to clobber upstate NY and New England. Sleet storm for DCA/BWI/PHL. Clearly Gemini cant extrapolate as favorably as us weenies do.
  6. Before we get to that, let's get past the potential goon system on the 29th. That is a vigorous NS vort diving thru and popping a low off the coast. Both gfs and euro have it.
  7. Looks like the GFS has 2 more threats next week...29th and feb 2 give or take.
  8. I mean, if we r being honest, the 6z euro was probably the best run yet for our region and about as close to perfect as we need for this one.
  9. Imagine if while surfing this subforum twc smooth jazz loads and plays automatically in the background? Could be a game changer for our sanity.
  10. 18" here, not much mix. Looks like mixing gets to the turnpike and stops. Even it we get sleet i think the thump is going to be significant
  11. I will leave you guys with this. The old tale that once a storm trends the wrong way it never reverses is a load of garbage. Ive seen enough systems go both ways as they windshield wiper to a solution. New data being injected tomorrow night stops the bleeding. G'nite
  12. Very pd2-ish, at least up my way in se pa
  13. All season thus far we couldnt buy a phase. Now we get a record arctic hp and antecedent airmass and the ns decides to do a perfect clean phase and overamp. So hard to get a clean MECS. It really is. But we have time. Hang in gang.
  14. The new data from the balloons tomorrow night will either stop the bleeding and reverse the trend, or....
  15. Euro will be telling. 18z was headed to an amped up solution as well.
  16. Agreed. 50/50, -nao, -ao, confluence in a decent spot, 1040hp. Hard to see all of those features just clearing the way for a 998mb low in WV.
  17. Crazy uncle hammers us but notably took a large move N. Can't afford too any more jogs.N we are losing wiggle room.
  18. Went from congrats VA to congrats upstate NY in 1 run.
  19. Everything has been coming northward, and by quite a bit tbh. There is way too much time to go. We need to stop the N jogs asap.
  20. This place is like gooning central rn geez
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