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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was wondering where tf you got to -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Precip shield expanded NW interestingly enough. Yes im talking to myself. Dont judge me -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looks a tick east aside from 1 or 2 slp centers that held no? -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
So euro-nam rule vs the gfs? Are we still following Hurricane Schwartz' advice.and siding with the superior Euro and just tossing the GFS? -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
GFS: -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
So euro has an inch in some areas the gfs has 30. Ok. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Gefs mean is around 6.5" imby. Thats pretty sweet. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thank you for your prettier maps ! -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC wants to give a nod to the gfs -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
You guys in DC land (and others) deserve this and I am fucking pulling for y'all. Not only a warning event but a HECS AND you finally might but a blip in the void of late feb no snow land. LFG -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Aaaaand the GFS holds serve. Wtf! -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Seems like most guidance is honing in on a coastal hit for parts of DE and S NJ with lighter stuff N and W. Im sure we will have more wobbles but the general idea of extreme S Jersey being the jack zone seems pretty solid right now. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
We blame convective feedback. Weenie handbook chapter 6 section 2 titled "but the low should be closer to the coast shouldn't it?". -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Is a lottle more than a little? Like a 'lot' better? -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Fv3 at 60 isnt as diggy with the lead shortwave so the trailing one has more of a chance to catch it and phase. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Ralph Wiggum replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was thinking that too. So.much separation between the waves heights actually rise in front of the trailing wave. I suppose that helps with the positive vorticity advection aspect but the full phase and capture is not on the 0z nam. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nice confluence as well. Alot of little pieces coming together. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Backside energy has slowed if you review past 2 or 3 nam runs. Might be a wash with the faster tilt but slower sw on the back. Not sure yet. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
This was before 18z his post -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hurricane went on to say the European is superior and the gfs should not be believed and the gefs dont agree with it. Dont shoot the messenger. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
So what didnI miss today? Catch me up. Has there really been a complete cave to the gfs or are wi shield wipering to meet in the middle? -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hey I work 10hr days dude lol cut me some slack. -
Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS
Ralph Wiggum replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Follow the euro it is almost never wrong
