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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    You're just upset because this will put a dent in the drought
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    In any event, this time Saturday we will be watching a huge swath of snow creeping towards the region with no worries of a miss. Been a while since we have been able to watch a big frozen qpf bomb encroach on our areas.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is often the last to budge and can be very stubborn holding onto a solution. It also lacks support from other guidance at the moment. Im not saying anything definitive but I would be very surprised if the GFS op was leading the way here.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    @Ji did you come across this one yet? Sorry it is for NYC but this Playlist is relaxing asf:
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    A dying primary in SW PA associated with ull won't do as you said. Need those features in TN Valley
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Cmon seasonal Nina atmos memory, sloppy phase, sloppy phase!
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    12z NAM, which shouldn't be taken verbatim at this range, develops the coastal low way west of its 6z run and tucks it and crawls it N-NNE. That scenario does us no good as mid levels torch and coastal is hugging the coast. Unless it bombs out and stalls, would just end as sleet and ice whereas some guidance had levels crashing and a ccb wraparound developing giving us a 'part 2' of accum snow. Will just have to watch where other guidance develops the coastal and the strength.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Still plows that primary into the ov and slower to redevelop off coast this run. Alot of balancing out of features that yield a very similar result at the surface. Alas, its the nam at range.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    2 extremely trustworthy models at range.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Not just this but ive been watching it develop off of SC, then off of NC (this was when we were looking golden), and now develops at the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay down near VA Beach. If this is the case, ie develop it farther N and W, then we need the low to go East from there. Keep an where 12z develops the 2ndary...more east is better here.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    What time does the morning euro come out?
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    AI euro drops about 11" before ending as a mix.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    6z gefs is a thing of beauty. Minimal mixing. Seems things have settled down since the pac data was ingested last night.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    6z rgem had 4-6" snow before plowing the mix line due N and turning to sleet
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    6z GFS upped the ante:
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC does not have the dropsonde data.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought you were out?
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Then no I cannot confirm lol. Timestamp is different 12.23.25
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Check date on that 12.23.25
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Can.you please post the kuchera on that with a slightly more NE view?
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Off topic, but since everyone is hanging in here, icon is sending a clipper into the flow midweek with this weekend storm acting as a 50/50 and the flow jammed up.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Is that a capture on the icon between 114 and 120?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. It seems the bleeding has stopped thus far at 0z.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    ?? We are about to get plastered with a thump of snow right after 84
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