Ralph Wiggum

Looks like some squalls during the day Saturday. Pattern change has been anything but dull.

Ditto. That might be the ultimate jinx to start one then delete it?

30F in Telford...still full snow cover here. Home in Warminster just patchy areas remain.

Groundhog > Weeklies/Ens ?

Before I went on my rant in early Feb then subsequently took some time away, I noted in the Philly forum to tread lightly with the weeklies and the epic looks. Of course I got booed off the forum even suggesting that. But in all seriousness I will reiterate what I did at that time. Many of these extended products are heavily weighted on past analogs when there are rolled out. So if a group of indices like the QBO, PDO, enso etc match a particular year (let's use 2010 as an example because this year had many similar key features), then the weeklies would tend to spit out something similar that transpired during those analog years. Not saying this is sole reason we got the head fake, but partly is due to this, of that I have no doubt. Many of us actually discussed this in the past and there is truth to the algorithms involved in creating an extended product. Now could I tell you which specific products use more of the analog data? No, I dont have that I fo, but maybe a red tagger would?

Magnolia mauler?

I'm pulling for mid 90s next January. At least.

Was just talking about this with someone. They noticed the past few years the sun's rays have felt hotter. I noted that I also sensed that. Wonder if there is something to this?

CMC was damn close to a MECS at the end of the run.

Yep, took me a while. 309N shut down. Eyeballing looks like 6-6.5 in telford.

Just hit 4" snow accumulation in Warminster. 32F

Puking snow now. Highest rates in quite a while. Closing in on 2"

Snowing sideways moderate+ here. Wind is starring to rip. Inflatable snowman living his best life in the yard. 31F

We r in the line of fire. Heaviest band setting up pretty much over us maybe a hair N if you do a loop and look at the axis starting to pivot and deform band beginning to form.

Mashed potatoes raining down from the sky. 32F

A driving sleet storm currently in Warminster. 33F.

@Birds~69 latest mesos have you and I at ground zero. Good luck! Can't wait to drive to Telford at 830

Rgem is a beatdown

Not sure if anyone else has this in their bookmarks, but for us old heads you can relive the glory days of the local on the 8's from TWC with the same theme music: https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/

Shit, we are and always have been a snow-region. No shame in our game.

Both wrf's way south and colder: Eta: top map is 12z....savor it anyway

Tuckerton, NJ / Little Egg Harbor jackpot 2 straight runs

Looking more and more like a general widespread 4-8". I consider that damn good. And we have wsw's.

I will take my 7.2" of snow and call it a winter.

Just like claiming victory prematurely I probably shouldnt accept failure yet, but my thinking that this was too early in the pattern change and SE PA would be close but no cigar looks like an epic fail. But those are the fails I like...so yeah.