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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    That would make the Sunday system look like preschool. Who's starting the thread?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    So a minimum 4" snowfall all along i95. What exactly is the issue here? I assume the fantasy runs earlier in the week skewed our expectations quite a bit?
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    I remember when for 3 days it has 12 degrees and snowing up my way both sat and sun. Now its just Sunday and 25 degrees. Probably will end up 33 by game time.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    It is refreshing over in the non banter thread this year to not have to sift thru psu essays on the elephant in the room or if it will ever snow again. Rather, we get to read his debbing about warm tongues at 700-800mb, dry slots, and fast moving lows too close to the coast.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Hey, can you still be reached at 877-cash-now?
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Just before the rgem flips se pa to sleet.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Ahh, my bad. And there you had me all excited.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. @high risk already mentioned this would be ran on Saturday 1/24
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Could you imagine if this keeps trending into just another nickel and dime event for SE PA?
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks the same as 12z to my eyes.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Im telling you, it can be a real stubborn s.o.b. at times. If it doesnt budge and it is wrong, they seriously should retire it.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Leaning on the GFS? Interesting. From your keyboard to God's monitor. Lfg!
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    100% outlier. I mentioned earlier today, the gfs will cling to an outlier solution right up to and even during the start of an event at times. It's a stubborn s.o.b. but dont fall for it.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Wow!
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Whereas my crew is saying I was the only one mentioning mix Tuesday pm and giving premature props for a conservative outlook. On the other hand, if this does trend colder/snowier, then Im a clown
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    You guys are weather ppl. How do you not have ice melt going into winter or at least 5 days ago seeing this on guidance, whether real or mirage? Stocked up on ice melt 3 weeks ago. And for good measure, hit the grocery store Monday. Scrambling last minute is for the birds. Rookies
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Saw this in March 2018(?) where the gfs was all snow from a coastal but the NAM continually showed a warm tongue going all the way back to York County. We all just shrugged it off as the hi res nam over forecasting the warm tongue. It was correct and actually not aggressive enough with that feature. Iirc, the gfs never even caved to the nam, it just stubbornly bombed that storm forecast.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    You're just upset because this will put a dent in the drought
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    In any event, this time Saturday we will be watching a huge swath of snow creeping towards the region with no worries of a miss. Been a while since we have been able to watch a big frozen qpf bomb encroach on our areas.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is often the last to budge and can be very stubborn holding onto a solution. It also lacks support from other guidance at the moment. Im not saying anything definitive but I would be very surprised if the GFS op was leading the way here.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    @Ji did you come across this one yet? Sorry it is for NYC but this Playlist is relaxing asf:
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    A dying primary in SW PA associated with ull won't do as you said. Need those features in TN Valley
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Cmon seasonal Nina atmos memory, sloppy phase, sloppy phase!
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    12z NAM, which shouldn't be taken verbatim at this range, develops the coastal low way west of its 6z run and tucks it and crawls it N-NNE. That scenario does us no good as mid levels torch and coastal is hugging the coast. Unless it bombs out and stalls, would just end as sleet and ice whereas some guidance had levels crashing and a ccb wraparound developing giving us a 'part 2' of accum snow. Will just have to watch where other guidance develops the coastal and the strength.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Still plows that primary into the ov and slower to redevelop off coast this run. Alot of balancing out of features that yield a very similar result at the surface. Alas, its the nam at range.
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