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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    I think he is just looking at the qpf output? Neither of those guidance tools were ever a big hit up this way....always had the main stuff South of the area thru the Del Marva. That band ticked south but precip on the Northern edge expanded/enhanced due to the new NS feature that is showing up. Reality is, we moved away from the good banding which is now well South. Maybe that will come North in future runs, but Im not so sure.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Surface low ticked South. A new wrench in the NS traveled thru the flow in the NS and enhanced precip for the area. Wasn't directly associated with the main low off the SC/NC coast. I think drought guy alluded to this and suggested this feature will draw the stj low North. Im not sold on that happening attm.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    In other news, the Allen Iverson Euro at 18z still has potential after this weekend. Has a system on the 29th offshore then has this clean Miller A beast at the end of the run again:
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    If atmosphere has memory, which I do believe in similar tendencies, this will likely be another minor event like either last Saturday or Sunday, respectively.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, starting to morph into an entirely different setup if we are being honest.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Ai gfs
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    18z gfs is another 2-4" event to pad our seasonal stats.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Ai GFS is a potential 2 wave long duration system. Yes, went south but still honking for a major event.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    AI is wayyy south. Suppression is a very major concern.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    That piece, the press of the PV and confluence, location/strength of hp. See @SnowenOutThere post above. He did a great job breaking it down.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Never heard of the guy. Sounds like a real clown. On a wx note, the rgem at 84 is really trying to bury our s/w in the Baja.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Seems crazy to try and extrapolate the NAM at range, but if we are being honest verbatim, the ull is hugging the Southern Cali coastline crawling along on a trajectory to the baja. It also looks uber wound up. How you can tell that would be a great run, Im not quite sure.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Alot depends on the ull out over the baja. Some models move it out quickly in 1 piece ans phase it, others are slower and eject it in waves.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    One trend past 24 hrs i do like, the strong 1052 arctic hp isnt showing nearly that strength and is ~1044mb highest i could find across guidance at 12z. Not surprising that it probably won't be as strong as depicted 6 days out.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Still an uneasy feeling for our sub forum with neither ens means budging whatsoever. Maybe an ass hair, but nothing that would make me think the AI/CMC/Ukie solutions hold water. The means are lock-step with each other right now. Very steady. Haven't seen that level of agreement in a long time.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro ticked N. Decent signal.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Remember, euro generally doesnt make massive leaps in 1 run. This is a perfect spot for you folks in the Mid Atl rn.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Slp actually a fair.amt.N vs 6z
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    The Feb 1 storm on the euro ai is a clean old fashioned straight up Miller a bomb
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    WTF
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Who drugged the euro ai with ecstasy? Dear lord! Back to back to back! Im off to goon....
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Allen Iverson euro.is a major hit this weekend. Then has 2 more mecs next week lol.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Allen Iverson euro is sick. Love this solution
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