I'm not even shocked. I feel like we do this regularly anymore. Now when the epic pattern goes to shit or doesn't produce, I will be disappointed. Not really tbough, because again, it's kind of the norm for us.
It is the epic period so maybe it has legs. Look, I don't doubt the indices tank in our favor. But we've seen epic patterns quite a bit recently tbh, more than usual I would even venture to say. But I am more into track actual legit events in these patterns. And I get it, get the pattern in place first. OK. But I guess it's just frustration that these good telleconnections just haven't produced a whole hell of alot over the past decade. Either we are just in a decadal rut or @psuhoffman from the MidAtl will need to dig into the deeper chapters in his log.
Well, I was bored and reading thru the weenie handbook, and I found a glimmer of hope....page 4 section b: "wait for the energy in question to get onshore before throwing in the towel on any given storm as things will begin to trend favorably". Hmmm
So, with next week in the dumpster, how we looking for our big grand finale major drool-worthy loaded powder keg pattern after the 20th? We still good?
Those are pretty but are talkng indices verifying or actual meaningful wintry westher? I.am focused on the latter. Dont care if the ao is -6 SD if it isn't going to produce.
I'm not writing it off. I'm just not feeling confident. And the point of my post was that if we do get everything to line up in that pattern change and for some reason we still shit the bed, then as psu alluded to, back to the log book and that conversation nobody wants to have.
I kept telling ppl stop looking ahead to the 20th+.....and watch the 5th-14th. But I got ripped a new one. The same ppl do the same thing every year and never learn. One year they will hit it.
Yeah ,but there are issues with our epic pattern. Not we have energy and a trof trying to set up in the SW, the EPO ridge is displaced too far West, the waning HL block is in the western side of Canada, and the SER is flexing it's muscle.
Well, i will help our cause. Im taking the time this weekend to pack up the snowblower, put the shovels into storage....but i will keep the ice melt handy for the 140 minutes I will need it Sunday morning. That should pretty much guarantee us a measurable event soon.
Meh...3 events (Saturday, Tuesday, Thurs/Fri) for a whopping 5"....and thats the Kuchera. We take, but this promising week is falling apart. We still got the Birds tho!!