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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Radar looks sort of meh. I know the 'main show' isn't until the afternoon/evening. With that said, can't help but think the NAMs are overdoing things as per usual.
  2. Models are pushing a dry slot/snizzle into SE PA after the first wave early tonight. Then we pin our hopes and dreams on the deform/wraparound as the system zips off. Seen these before, slot always gets farther N and W and the 2nd part is a non-event...light stuff no additional accums extreme SE PA. Think the NAMs are overdone as always. First call is 1-3" imby, 2-5" N and W of here (central bucks) into the LV. A few 6" lollis there. S and E of here c-2".
  3. I would take the perfect bullseye at under 42 hrs tho
  4. January 25, 2000 vibes....well, maybe not that insane, but the trends continue
  5. NAM is a beatdown here. Grain of salt I'm telling myself, but sweet to see us trend towards a good event for a change.
  6. NAMming incoming. Great trends with this one. Not a HECS or MECS but I dont think we expected such. SECSy asf
  7. Wiggum Rule verifies again....had 30 mins of mixed light/moderate snow tv. No stickage. Looking ahead to late week, something about not being in the bullseye 5 days out? Fml...
  8. SSTs are just too warm. Probably too many fish releasing methane or some shit.
  9. 900-950mb is torched between 50-56hrs. All the way to N Bucks/Montco. Hope it's wrong and mesos not honing in on that sneaky warm layer.
  10. Latest NAM is more sleet than anything in extreme SE PA Tuesday am. Gotta love it. Just can't get a clean event it seems.
  11. Good. Kill the threat before we get sucked in. I'm already onto the Feb 5 event.
  12. I too am on board with you. This is our twisted version of Normandy Beach....we all see what is staring us in the face. Vomit and rally. LFG!
  13. We are finding ways to fail this year that I never in my life thought possible!!
  14. Don't count your chips just yet. Things are falling apart this week then the week you targeted looks well AN with a pattern relax. I mean, anyone can say they think the 3rd week of July will be hot with thunderstorms and probably be close too. Not a personal knock but you can't cherry pick a squall line to try and justify it as a clipper a week early. Not really the way it works. But let's see how the week plays out. Any snow, we take. I don't care who called it or how we get there tbh.
  15. If we get 2 snowstorms of 20" each in the first half of March, is that a success? Dead ass serious question.
  16. And thats the thing, the ens have been honestly pretty good at seeing the overall longwave setup at range. And we have had some decent looks. My frustration last week was that we just aren't cashing in when we get the better setups. And that is to be expected....to a degree. But, throw enough chances and eventually it will happen. This is why wall to wall winter from Dec 1-mid March is a myth....not the norm.
  17. That's kinda my wag too tho I'm hedging lower c-2" on next event for now until I see evidence to Increase.
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