I do think the LR (Feb 12+) looks beyond promising. But I again sort of agree with you....how many times have we been drooling at LR ens stuff but overlooking threats in the mid range only to have the short and mid range events produce and the LR stuff fizzle? Not suggesting that, but it is funny seeing most eyes on the mid month presentation with a potential impactful event on our doorsteps.
Eps is just insane. The mean snowfall maps for after the 10th thru the 17th are off the charts. Tbh havent seen such a strong snowstorm signal at this range since possibly Jan 2016. Major signal across the board.
Realizing this is the NAM at range, but this looks quite wintry. And with LP developing near the outer banks, anything to keep those winds with a Northerly component will keep interior section in the CAD.
Funny how the gfs op is a weenie run during the 'mild' reload stretch then looks to relax when we are supposed to enter our best pattern. Interesting how this stuff works sometimes.
GFS still hellbent on a wintry storm midweek. Showing 2 separate impules...a weak one Wednesday as mostly scattered snow showers or light snow (icon on board and cmc slowwwwly trending) then has a significant ice/sleet storm Wednesday overnight into a good chunk of Thursday. Nice CAD signal depicted for a global model. Pretty Interesting 'mild' stretch. We take.