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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. If anything, the GEFS 6z is a decent improvement bs 0z wrt strength, track, and clustering of individual slp. Talk about doubling down. Lost most southern and Eastern outliers from 0z. Basically just played bully and told the euro to get a fricken clue.
  2. Might be the one for New England at this rate. Im sure the Euro puts the kibosh on the N trend thing in 90 mins tho.
  3. Not getting overly excited just yet. These runs put us in the game. But this was a SC storm just 30 hours or so ago. Could still move around a bit the next several days.
  4. CMC is quite a bit colder BUT also loses the primary faster. More realistic storm with our region being on the Northern edge. Close call tho because the tilt is neg and almost appears the slp gets pulled N for a frame or 2.
  5. Agreed. And right on the heels...nary a break in between. CMC tries to phase another piece of the PV into the back of the trof now too. This is escalating quickly. Go to bed before Dr No comes in.
  6. Damn! The CMC is so close to phasing in a second lobe of the PV extension on the backside of the trof now. I dont think any other model is showing this tho.
  7. I absolutely refuse to stay up for the Euro. Going to bed on a positive note.
  8. WOOF WOOF!!!! Hold the primary longer allows for bombing farther N and W. Well I'll be a sonofabish
  9. WTF did the GFS just do....holds that primary alot longer.
  10. Surface low is actually farther W and maybe a mile N of the 12z run.
  11. Looking at thermals, NAM actually was quite a bit warmer. ICON just came in way N c-2" for most S of I-80. I don't think we are done with the ticks N and warming yet either.
  12. We just got NAM'd. Am I reading that right 5-10" mainly snow here?
  13. Nice cluster of stronger lows just S of Nags Head North to VA Beach latitude on the 18z.
  14. 18z Euro is 3-6" here in Central Bucks. Mostly all snow. 2-4" here in Warminster area with 5" lollis is my first guess (more sleet = lower end, all snow = higher end of range with the 5" spots). 1-3" south of TP with mixing issues. Subject to change.
  15. Guess that clustering of lows there from the 6z GEFS has legs.
  16. 18z GFS doubles down on the late week system. Farther N. Stronger sw, better ridging out in front. Getting closer.
  17. GFS doubling down. 90% of the season the Euro/EPS caved to the GFS except with the Jan 25 system. Can we get the magic back?!?
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