Ralph Wiggum

The blocking IS easing. Thats why there is the potential. But just weakened NAO alone doesn't always yield a KU. Need alot of pieces to come together. Look, I'm not trying to crap in anyone's Wheaties....just trying to temper expectations for all of us. Im confident we get some snow, I just think with the complexity of the flow, hoping for a blockbuster event is a dangerous road to take. We have been down that road recently. Keep things in check for a few more days....but most folks here are already aware of this.

Again, the ICON, but shows the complexity in trying to get a Euro result. 4 separate sw's trying to interact flying around the retro'ing block. No model will firmly grasp this complexity until under 84 hrs out imho.

I know it's the ICON but likely shows the way to a fail with this one. 6z has the energy out west split into distinct NS and STJ vorts. By the end of the 6z run you can see the STJ sw getting hurried due East via a kicker right on its heels. Now the jury is out where the run would go if extended, but seems to me this is showing what we've seen recently where things get sheared or progressive in the stj and aren't able to phase cleanly. Looks like a sloppy phase imo there at best. Euro is the extreme outlier.

All but 1 member of the EPS is honking. That is more support for this at this range than I've seen since 2016.

Third time is the charm. We might not be the bullseye when all is said and done but we are getting some snow out of this.

Best. WWA System. Ever.

Most of her papers are available to read if you google Heather Archambault

I feel like Ji tonight...a major accomplishment via digital snow. I think I finally get a sense for what the guy feels.

Big ones show themselves early. Been on the radar since last week. CMC deserves a biscuit if this happens?

Third wave always holds the best potential and couple that progression with an Archambault event and we may be talking legit KU in another couple days.

That euro was insane. Best widespread look since 96

I feel like we are at halftime in the superbowl vs Tom Brady and our team is up by 21 at the half!

Well that's a 2am visual i wont soon be able to unsee ty

It can only continue to improve with that h5 look

March 58 redux this run lol

We abscond that sh!t

I've seen the light

Tired. Eyes failing. I'll let u guys pbp

Weaker wave and primary. Dont want to be that guy but signs of shearing evident.

Doesn't do the capture phase thing not even close.

This run is on track to deliver

Thats souther

We know how this will end (see the 1/28 system at 144 hrs out). Like watching the same thing. Deja vu